Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar displays significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive streak in their last five home matches (WDWWWWDL). The hosts hold a higher position in the table (4th place) and have a positive goal difference at home (+4), while Singida Black Stars have a negative away goal difference (-6). The visitors have won only 13% of their away matches and failed to score in 63% of those games, indicating serious offensive issues (averaging 0.38 goals per away match). xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.99 vs 0.7), and Mtibwa Sugar have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while Singida have managed only 1. Considering the home advantage, better form, and significant differences in offensive efficiency, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mtibwa Sugar played against Singida Black Stars in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Mtibwa Sugar has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Singida Black Stars has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.79. Singida Black Stars scores 0.54 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 1.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Mtibwa Sugar's games and 15% of Singida Black Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 0%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Singida Black Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 0.97 per game. Mtibwa Sugar takes 3.9 shots per game, while Singida Black Stars takes 2.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Singida Black Stars leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mtibwa Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Singida Black Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.85 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar displays significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive streak in their last five home matches (WDWWWWDL). The hosts hold a higher position in the table (4th place) and have a positive goal difference at home (+4), while Singida Black Stars have a negative away goal difference (-6). The visitors have won only 13% of their away matches and failed to score in 63% of those games, indicating serious offensive issues (averaging 0.38 goals per away match). xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.99 vs 0.7), and Mtibwa Sugar have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while Singida have managed only 1. Considering the home advantage, better form, and significant differences in offensive efficiency, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 13% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.56 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 1.74 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mtibwa Sugar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1 pts / game - Singida Black Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mtibwa Sugar is 59% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.54 goals / game - Singida Black Stars
Mtibwa Sugar is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.85 goals / game - Singida Black Stars
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of games (8 of 14 meczów), while Singida Black Stars keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
Singida Black Stars scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Singida Black Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Singida Black Stars is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.15 pts / game - Singida Black Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Singida Black Stars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Singida Black Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.64 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | • 43% | 42% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 8% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Singida Black StarsGoalMossi Nduwumwe
- Singida Black StarsGoalMalanga Horso Mwaku
- Singida Black StarsGoalKennedy Wilson Juma
Head-to-head
Record from Mtibwa Sugar's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Singida Black Stars. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:3 Singida Black Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.86 goals per game on average and Singida Black Stars 0.54. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 15% of Singida Black Stars's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Singida Black Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Singida Black Stars 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The statistical background for Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.