Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of 23 July 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans: match statistics

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Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mtibwa Sugar play Young Africans in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 11 February 2026 at 01:00.

Current form

Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Young Africans: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Young Africans scores 2.41 and concedes 0.31. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, Young Africans 21%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 53%, Young Africans 59%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Young Africans has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.00. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5 shots per match, Young Africans: 11.3.

Match halves

Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43. Young Africans: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.34.

Goals by minute

Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Young Africans: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0.83Goals scored / match2.41
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.6Goals conceded / match0.31
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
29%Average possession50%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.2Shots on target / match5.21
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.5Shots per match11.34
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.2Shots on target5.21
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
23.8%Shot conversion21.3%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
29%Possession50%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1xG for1.87
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.58xG against0.97
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingYoung Africans: Efficient finishing
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
Accuracy (shots on target)34%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.690.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Young Africans
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
76% W21% R3% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-6-1
2.48 pts / match · goal difference +61
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-5-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Young Africans is 190% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 2.41 goals / match - Young Africans

Young Africans is 416% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.31 goals / match - Young Africans

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: more difficult

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Young Africans keeps a clean sheet in 79% (23 of 29 matches).

Young Africans scoring profile: very strong

Young Africans scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

25Goals scored (season)70
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
48Goals conceded (season)9
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
2.43Average goals in match2.72
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
2Goals scored (last 5)13
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
12Goals conceded (last 5)0
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal86%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
20%2 goals72%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
3%3 goals52%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
3%4 goals14%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal21%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
47%2 goals7%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
27%3 goals3%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
7%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time17%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
17%Scored in both halves59%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS41%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
40%BTTS - last 50%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Young Africans is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 2 pts / match - Young Africans

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing
Young Africans - half-time state
52% leading45% draw3% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)2
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.21
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
33%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
70%No goal before half-time34%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)2.45
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)1.34
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.1
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
53%Clean sheet after half-time93%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
60%No goal after half-time24%
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Young Africans - second-half results

76% W17% R7% P
58
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+36
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Young Africans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.603.00
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+9
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Young Africans
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
9
2
16-30
11
2
31-45
9
0
46-60
14
0
61-75
17
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
184%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Young Africans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
277%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
24%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaYoung Africans
Average goals in match 2.432.17 2.72
Both teams scored 50%35% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 59%
Clean sheets 20%39% 79%
Goal before half-time 73%60% 66%
Goal after half-time 70%63% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 0 - 1 Young Africans. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Young Africans
2 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar

FAQ

When do Mtibwa Sugar and Young Africans play?

Mtibwa Sugar face Young Africans on 11 February 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans?

Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and Young Africans 2.41. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 21% of Young Africans's.

What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Young Africans in?

Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Young Africans 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans?

The statistical background for Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.