MTK vs Ferencváros: match statistics
Ferencváros presents decidedly higher form and quality than MTK, confirmed by their table position (2nd place vs 9th place) and away match record. The visitors win an impressive 73% of their away matches, maintaining an impressive goal difference (+12) and conceding an average of just 0.73 goals per match. Despite decent scoring efficiency in home matches (averaging 2.64 goals per match), MTK has serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 1.91 goals in every home fixture. The form over the last five matches also speaks in favor of Ferencváros (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 points for MTK). High advantage in possession (56% vs 51%) and better xG statistics demonstrate the dominance of the visitors, who should control the course of this meeting and secure the full three points.
MTK vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MTK played against Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on February 23, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
MTK has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ferencváros has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
MTK scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 2.18. Ferencváros scores 1.86 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of MTK's games and 59% of Ferencváros's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 68%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ferencváros has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.60 per game. MTK takes 13.7 shots per game, while Ferencváros takes 16.1.
First-half and second-half trends
MTK leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Ferencváros leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Ferencváros, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferencváros presents decidedly higher form and quality than MTK, confirmed by their table position (2nd place vs 9th place) and away match record. The visitors win an impressive 73% of their away matches, maintaining an impressive goal difference (+12) and conceding an average of just 0.73 goals per match. Despite decent scoring efficiency in home matches (averaging 2.64 goals per match), MTK has serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 1.91 goals in every home fixture. The form over the last five matches also speaks in favor of Ferencváros (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 points for MTK). High advantage in possession (56% vs 51%) and better xG statistics demonstrate the dominance of the visitors, who should control the course of this meeting and secure the full three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ferencváros is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - MTK · 1.8 pts / game - Ferencváros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferencváros is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.18 goals / game - MTK · 1.09 goals / game - Ferencváros
MTK scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
Ferencváros scores in 95% of games (21 of 22 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Ferencváros
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferencváros is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - MTK · 1.91 pts / game - Ferencváros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ferencváros - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MTK
Ferencváros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.05 | 3.03 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from MTK's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Ferencváros. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Ferencváros?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:3 Ferencváros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Ferencváros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MTK won 0, Ferencváros won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Ferencváros?
MTK score 1.86 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.86. The NB I average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 68% of MTK's matches and 59% of Ferencváros's.
What form are MTK and Ferencváros in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ferencváros 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Ferencváros?
The statistical background for MTK vs Ferencváros — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.