MTK vs Kazincbarcika: match statistics
MTK is showing significantly better home form, winning 56% of their matches at home with an impressive average of 2.89 goals per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches, while Kazincbarcika has a disastrous -15 goal difference in away games. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 11, confirming their dire form. Kazincbarcika wins only 11% of away games, scoring an average of 0.78 goals, while MTK has a shot conversion rate of 20% in home matches. The difference in possession (48% vs 41%), shots on target (5.78 vs 2.67), and expected goals (1.65 vs 0.96) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, an MTK victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
MTK vs Kazincbarcika: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MTK played against Kazincbarcika in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
MTK has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Kazincbarcika has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
MTK scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 2.05. Kazincbarcika scores 0.89 and allows 2.05. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of MTK's games and 58% of Kazincbarcika's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 68%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MTK has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.07 per game. MTK takes 13.5 shots per game, while Kazincbarcika takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
MTK leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 1.16 goals per game after halftime. Kazincbarcika leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Kazincbarcika, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK is showing significantly better home form, winning 56% of their matches at home with an impressive average of 2.89 goals per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches, while Kazincbarcika has a disastrous -15 goal difference in away games. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 11, confirming their dire form. Kazincbarcika wins only 11% of away games, scoring an average of 0.78 goals, while MTK has a shot conversion rate of 20% in home matches. The difference in possession (48% vs 41%), shots on target (5.78 vs 2.67), and expected goals (1.65 vs 0.96) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, an MTK victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 112% better for: goals scored per game.
1.89 goals / game - MTK · 0.89 goals / game - Kazincbarcika
MTK scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).
Kazincbarcika scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Kazincbarcika
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - MTK · 0.95 pts / game - Kazincbarcika
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kazincbarcika - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MTK
Kazincbarcika
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.95 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from MTK's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kazincbarcika. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:3 Kazincbarcika. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
MTK score 1.89 goals per game on average and Kazincbarcika 0.89. The NB I average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of MTK's matches and 58% of Kazincbarcika's.
What form are MTK and Kazincbarcika in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kazincbarcika 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.