Hungary - NB IHidegkuti Nándor StadionData current as of October 15, 2026

MTK vs Vasas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MTK vs Vasas: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

MTK plays Vasas in NB I (Hungary). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion.

Recent form

MTK has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Vasas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

MTK scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.89. Vasas scores 2.00 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 78% of MTK's games and 67% of Vasas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 89% and 67%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

MTK has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.63 per game. MTK takes 12.7 shots per game, while Vasas takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

MTK leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Vasas leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.44 after halftime.

When the teams score

MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Vasas, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NB I games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(3.60)
(2.72)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game2
MTKVasas
1.89Goals allowed / game1.33
MTKVasas
52%Average possession51%
MTKVasas
6.56Shots on target / game5.22
MTKVasas

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.67Shots per game13
MTKVasas
6.56Shots on target5.22
MTKVasas
13.2%Shot conversion15.4%
MTKVasas
52%Possession51%
MTKVasas
1.67xG for1.63
MTKVasas
1.6xG against1.36
MTKVasas

Shooting quality

MTK: Efficient finishingVasas: Efficient finishing
MTKVasas
Accuracy (shots on target)52%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Vasas is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - MTK · 1.4 pts / game - Vasas

MTK
WDLLL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Vasas
LLWWD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasas is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - MTK · 2 goals / game - Vasas

Vasas is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.89 goals / game - MTK · 1.33 goals / game - Vasas

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Vasas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

Vasas scoring profile: very strong

Vasas scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

15Goals scored (season)18
MTKVasas
17Goals conceded (season)12
MTKVasas
3.56Average goals per game3.33
MTKVasas
6Goals scored (last 5)9
MTKVasas
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
MTKVasas

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
MTKVasas
56%2 goals56%
MTKVasas
22%3 goals33%
MTKVasas
0%4 goals22%
MTKVasas

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal78%
MTKVasas
67%2 goals44%
MTKVasas
33%3 goals11%
MTKVasas
0%4 goals0%
MTKVasas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time22%
MTKVasas
11%BTTS in both halves11%
MTKVasas
33%Scored in both halves33%
MTKVasas

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
MTKVasas
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MTKVasas
80%BTTS - last 580%
MTKVasas

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
MTKVasas
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MTKVasas
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
MTKVasas

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
MTKVasas
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time78%
MTKVasas
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
MTKVasas

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vasas is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - MTK · 1.22 pts / game - Vasas

MTK - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Vasas - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1.22
MTKVasas
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.56
MTKVasas
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
MTKVasas
1.56Average goals (1st half)1
MTKVasas
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MTKVasas
44%No goal before half-time67%
MTKVasas

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per game (2nd half)1.44
MTKVasas
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.44
MTKVasas
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
MTKVasas
2Average goals (2nd half)2.33
MTKVasas
33%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MTKVasas
33%No goal after half-time22%
MTKVasas

MTK - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vasas - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

MTK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

MTK
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Vasas
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Vasas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

MTKLigaVasas
Average goals per game▲ 3.563.19▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 78%66%• 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 89%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 11%19%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%68%▼ 44%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%81%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per game
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do MTK and Vasas play?

MTK face Vasas on October 16, 2026 in NB I at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Vasas?

MTK score 1.67 goals per game on average and Vasas 2.00. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of MTK's matches and 67% of Vasas's.

What form are MTK and Vasas in?

Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vasas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Vasas?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Vasas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.