Mumbai City vs Odisha FC: match statistics
Mumbai City vs Odisha FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mumbai City played against Odisha FC in Indian Super League (India). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Mumbai City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Odisha FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Mumbai City scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.67. Odisha FC scores 1.50 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mumbai City's games and 75% of Odisha FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mumbai City has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.15 per game. Mumbai City takes 11.5 shots per game, while Odisha FC takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mumbai City leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Odisha FC leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mumbai City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Odisha FC, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Indian Super League games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mumbai City (1st) have a home record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.33 goals for and 1.00 conceded per match, with xG 1.38 versus xG against 1.21. In their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 goals and average 2.2 points (3 wins, 2 draws), indicating solid form. Odisha (9th) average 2.5 goals scored away with a 25% conversion rate, but concede 3.00 goals on the road and have xG against 1.73, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Odisha’s higher conversion (25% vs 13% for Mumbai), Mumbai’s superior home defensive stability (1.00 GA vs 3.00 GA) and higher home xG (1.38 vs 1.19) favor a Mumbai win. I therefore expect a Mumbai victory, although the match could be high-scoring given Odisha’s offensive metrics.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess the BTTS - Yes scenario as more likely because Odisha has a season BTTS of 100% and averages 2.5 goals scored while conceding 3.0 per season. Mumbai City have a home season BTTS of 50% and 50% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches they average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with BTTS occurring in 60% of those five fixtures. Shot metrics favor Odisha: 10.0 shots and 4.5 shots on target per match with a 25% conversion rate, versus 9.5 shots and 1.5 shots on target and a 5% conversion for Mumbai, which increases the likelihood of goals. xG confirms this view: Odisha xG for 1.19 vs xG against 1.73, while Mumbai xG for 1.10 vs xG against 1.20, indicating Odisha both creates and allows many chances. Considering the league BTTS of 55% and the combination of Odisha’s 100% season BTTS with its high average goals conceded, I assign 78% to 'Yes' and 22% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG is 1.10 for Mumbai and 1.19 for Odisha, with xG against at 1.20 (Mumbai) and 1.73 (Odisha); averaging these yields a projected 1.42 goals for Mumbai and 1.19 for Odisha, totalling 2.61 goals. Odisha has 100% of matches Over 2.5 and 100% Over 3.5 this season, averages 4.5 shots on target with a 25% conversion rate, while Mumbai has 1.5 shots on target and 5% conversion, which increases the visitors’ offensive threat. In the last 5 matches Mumbai scored 7 goals (1.4 avg), Odisha 6 goals (1.2 avg), and the last 5 xG are 1.47 (Mumbai) and 1.27 (Odisha), confirming a moderate volume of chances. A Poisson model with lambda=2.61 gives approximately a 73% chance of Over 1.5 (vs 27% Under), about 48% for Over 2.5 (vs 52% Under) and about 27% for Over 3.5 (vs 73% Under). Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: it has the highest probability (>70%) and is supported by Odisha’s seasonal form (25% conversion and 100% Over2.5) and the advantage in shots on target.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics indicate Odisha have a markedly stronger attack — averaging 2.5 goals per game and with 8 goals scored by half-time, while Mumbai City average 0.5 goals per game and only 1 goal by half-time. However, in the last 5 matches Mumbai have shown better first-half form: they led at the break in 60% of fixtures and average 0.8 goals in the first 45 minutes, whereas Odisha led at the break in only 20% of those five matches. For that reason the most likely half-time score is a draw — Odisha have a seasonal 50% rate of leading at the break, but Mumbai’s recent form (60% leads in the last 5) evens the chances for the first half. For the full-time result I expect Odisha to win: the seasonal away average is 2.5 goals versus 0.5 for the home side, Odisha’s shot conversion is high (25% vs 5% for Mumbai), and Odisha’s total seasonal goals average 5.5 versus 1.0 for the hosts, suggesting an advantage late in the game. Therefore I pick X/2 (draw at half-time, away win) with an estimated probability of about 30%, with meaningful alternatives of 20% for 2/2 and 15% for X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mumbai City | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mumbai City is 76% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Mumbai City · 1.25 pts / game - Odisha FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Odisha FC is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Mumbai City · 1.5 goals / game - Odisha FC
Mumbai City is 161% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Mumbai City · 1.75 goals / game - Odisha FC
Mumbai City scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Odisha FC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Odisha FC scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Mumbai City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mumbai City
Over / Under - Odisha FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mumbai City is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Mumbai City · 1 pts / game - Odisha FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mumbai City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Odisha FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mumbai City
Odisha FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Mumbai City | Liga | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.42 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mumbai City's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Odisha FC. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mumbai City vs Odisha FC?
The Indian Super League match finished Mumbai City 1:0 Odisha FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mumbai City and Odisha FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mumbai City won 0, Odisha FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mumbai City vs Odisha FC?
Mumbai City score 1.33 goals per game on average and Odisha FC 1.50. The Indian Super League average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mumbai City's matches and 75% of Odisha FC's.
What form are Mumbai City and Odisha FC in?
Over the last 5 games Mumbai City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Odisha FC 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mumbai City vs Odisha FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.