Municipal Liberia vs Herediano: match statistics
Herediano presents impressive form with five consecutive victories in recent matches, scoring 14 goals while conceding just 2. The visiting team has a clearly better season record (10 wins compared to 7 for the hosts) and a significantly higher PPG in the last five matches (3.0 vs 0.6). Municipal Liberia has not won any of their last five meetings, conceding 9 goals in that period, indicating defensive problems. Despite the hosts' advantage in possession and xG in home matches, their inefficiency in recent weeks and Herediano's excellent streak argue for an away win. Clean sheet statistics (40% for the guests vs 45% for the hosts at home) and Herediano's higher efficiency in the final third suggest that the guests have a greater chance of taking the three points in this clash.
Municipal Liberia vs Herediano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Municipal Liberia play Herediano in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Municipal Liberia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Herediano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Municipal Liberia scores 1.15 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Herediano scores 1.30 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Municipal Liberia 48%, Herediano 40%. Over 2.5: Municipal Liberia 43%, Herediano 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Herediano has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.43. Municipal Liberia: 11.8 shots per match, Herediano: 12.1.
Match halves
Municipal Liberia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Herediano: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Municipal Liberia: 76-90+ (10 goals). Herediano: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División FPD: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Herediano presents impressive form with five consecutive victories in recent matches, scoring 14 goals while conceding just 2. The visiting team has a clearly better season record (10 wins compared to 7 for the hosts) and a significantly higher PPG in the last five matches (3.0 vs 0.6). Municipal Liberia has not won any of their last five meetings, conceding 9 goals in that period, indicating defensive problems. Despite the hosts' advantage in possession and xG in home matches, their inefficiency in recent weeks and Herediano's excellent streak argue for an away win. Clean sheet statistics (40% for the guests vs 45% for the hosts at home) and Herediano's higher efficiency in the final third suggest that the guests have a greater chance of taking the three points in this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Liberia | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Municipal Liberia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Municipal Liberia · 1.6 pts / match - Herediano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Herediano is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Municipal Liberia · 1.3 goals / match - Herediano
Herediano is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Municipal Liberia · 0.85 goals / match - Herediano
Municipal Liberia scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Herediano keeps a clean sheet in 45% (18 of 40 matches).
Herediano scores in 75% of matches (30 of 40 matches), while Municipal Liberia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Municipal Liberia
Over / Under — Herediano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Liberia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Herediano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Municipal Liberia
Herediano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Liberia | Liga | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Municipal Liberia 2 - 0 - 1 Herediano. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Liberia vs Herediano?
The Primera División FPD match finished Municipal Liberia 1:0 Herediano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Liberia and Herediano?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Liberia won 2, Herediano won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Liberia vs Herediano?
Municipal Liberia score 1.15 goals per game on average and Herediano 1.30. The Primera División FPD average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Municipal Liberia's matches and 40% of Herediano's.
What form are Municipal Liberia and Herediano in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Liberia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Herediano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Liberia vs Herediano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.