Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos: match statistics
Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Municipal Liberia played against San Carlos in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The game was played on April 7, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Municipal Liberia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. San Carlos has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Municipal Liberia scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.21. San Carlos scores 0.90 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Municipal Liberia's games and 42% of San Carlos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 39%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Municipal Liberia has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 0.98 per game. Municipal Liberia takes 11.8 shots per game, while San Carlos takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Municipal Liberia leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. San Carlos leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Municipal Liberia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For San Carlos, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División FPD games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Municipal Liberia holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they win 50% of home matches, average 1.06 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game with an average xG of 1.51 versus opponent xG 1.26. San Carlos perform poorly away – only 27% wins, an average of 1.13 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match, average xG 0.87 and xG against 1.60, and as much as 60% away defeats. In the last 5 matches the home side have a 3-1-1 record (6 scored, 7 conceded, 2.0 points per game), while the visitors are 0-2-3 (2 goals, 7 conceded, 0.4 points per game), illustrating a significant form gap. The difference in chance quality is meaningful: Municipal average 12.81 shots and 4.0 on target per home game with an 8% conversion and only 13% of home matches goalless, whereas San Carlos away average 7.6 shots, 2.8 on target, 15% conversion but 40% of away matches without scoring and only 7% clean sheets. Considering the xG advantage (1.51 vs 0.87), higher volume of chances and markedly better recent points average (2.0 vs 0.4), I predict a win for Municipal Liberia.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Primary signals favor a Both Teams To Score scenario: San Carlos has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% and only 7% clean sheets, while both teams concede a high number of goals on average — Municipal Liberia 1.44 and San Carlos 1.67 per match. Municipal has a low seasonal goals scored average of 0.69, but in the last 5 matches they scored 6 goals (1.2 avg) and recorded BTTS in 60% of those games, whereas San Carlos in the same period scored only 2 goals (0.4 avg) and conceded 7. xG analysis shows Municipal generates 1.08 xG with xG against 1.25, and San Carlos has an attacking xG of 0.87 and xG against 1.60, indicating realistic goal-scoring opportunities on both sides. Additionally, San Carlos registers more shots on target 2.8 vs 2.19 for Municipal and has a higher shot conversion rate 15% vs 8%, with the league BTTS level at 49% as a reference. Considering San Carlos’s seasonal 60% BTTS, their mere 7% clean sheets and recent offensive uptick from Liberia, I assign BTTS roughly 65% versus 35% for No Goal and recommend a "yes" bet (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I assign an 82% probability to Over 1.5: the home team has 75% of matches with over 1.5 goals, the away team 73%, combined xG is 1.95 (1.08 for Municipal Liberia vs 0.87 for San Carlos), and combined goals conceded are 3.11 (1.44 + 1.67), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. I expect 0.95 goals for the home side and 1.05 for the visitors (total 2.00); the home team has xG 1.08 but scores only 0.69 season-to-date, while San Carlos scores 1.13 and has higher shot conversion 15% versus Liberia’s 8%. I assess the chance of Over 2.5 at 46% — San Carlos has 53% of matches above 2.5, Liberia only 25%, and in the last 5 matches Liberia had 40% of games with over 2.5 goals, so the 2.5 line provides only a moderate signal. I value Over 3.5 low at 21% (13% for the home team vs 33% for the away team seasonally), and the league averages 2.43 goals per match, therefore the strongest and most reliable pick is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Form and statistical analysis before the match favor Municipal Liberia: in the last 5 matches the home team won 60% of games (3 of 5) and led at the break in 40% of matches, scoring on average 0.8 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for San Carlos. San Carlos have no wins in the last 5 (0% wins), have 40% draws and 60% losses and score on average only 0.2 goals by half-time in this run, which limits their ability to stage a turnaround. xG also favors the hosts: xG for Municipal is 1.08 versus 0.87 for San Carlos, while the visitors’ defense concedes on average 1.60 xG per match. Considering that the hosts scored 0.8 goals by half-time in their last 5 matches and won 3 of 5, the most likely scenario is Municipal Liberia leading at the break and the home team winning after 90 minutes (1/1). Alternatives include a half-time draw with a final home win (X/1) or a full-time draw (X/X), but San Carlos’s poor form (an average of 0.4 points per game in the last 5) reduces the visitors’ chances.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Liberia | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Municipal Liberia is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Municipal Liberia · 0.4 pts / game - San Carlos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Municipal Liberia is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Municipal Liberia · 0.9 goals / game - San Carlos
Municipal Liberia is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Municipal Liberia · 1.55 goals / game - San Carlos
Municipal Liberia scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 meczów), while San Carlos keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 meczów).
San Carlos scores in 55% of games (17 of 31 meczów), while Municipal Liberia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Municipal Liberia
Over / Under - San Carlos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Municipal Liberia is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Municipal Liberia · 0.97 pts / game - San Carlos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Liberia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
San Carlos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Municipal Liberia
San Carlos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Liberia | Liga | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.24 | 2.43 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 31% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Municipal Liberia's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against San Carlos. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
The Primera División FPD match finished Municipal Liberia 5:1 San Carlos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Liberia and San Carlos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Liberia won 2, San Carlos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
Municipal Liberia score 1.03 goals per game on average and San Carlos 0.90. The Primera División FPD average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Municipal Liberia's matches and 42% of San Carlos's.
What form are Municipal Liberia and San Carlos in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Liberia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and San Carlos 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
The statistical background for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


