Municipal Limeño vs Águila: match statistics
Municipal Limeño vs Águila: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Municipal Limeño played against Águila in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Municipal Limeño has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Águila has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Municipal Limeño scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.20. Águila scores 1.38 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Municipal Limeño's games and 52% of Águila's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Águila has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.42 per game. Municipal Limeño takes 9.6 shots per game, while Águila takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Municipal Limeño leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Águila leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Municipal Limeño's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Águila, it is minutes 16-30 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win — Municipal Limeño average 1.65 goals per home match versus Águila’s 1.10 away, with home xG at 1.60 vs 1.36 for the visitors. Municipal create more chances: 11.05 shots and 4.25 on target per home match compared to Águila’s 9.35 shots and 4.0 on target away, with finishing rates of 15% vs 12% for the visitors — indicating Municipal are more efficient in the final third. Defensively both teams concede 1.05 goals per match on average, but Águila allow lower opponent xG (1.06 conceded away vs 1.44 conceded at Municipal), suggesting the visitors limit high-quality chances better despite similar goals-against. Additional home strengths for Municipal include a low percentage of matches without scoring at home (15% vs Águila’s 35% away) and a solid home record (55% wins, goal difference +12), while Águila have more total wins this season (20 vs 15) and slightly better recent form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 points per game). Taking this into account I give Municipal a 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an Águila win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a moderate lean toward BTTS: Municipal Limeño posts a season BTTS rate of 68% vs 35% for Águila, with hosts averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match. Combined xG — 1.50 for Municipal and 1.36 for Águila (=2.86) — exceeds the league average goals of 2.7, and in the last 5 matches Águila’s average attacking xG is 1.70 vs Municipal’s xG against 1.63, suggesting the visitors create scoring opportunities. Additionally Municipal averages 4.33 shots on target (vs 4.0 Águila) and has a higher shot conversion rate at 17% (vs 12%), increasing the hosts’ probability of scoring, although Águila keeps more clean sheets (40% vs 23%), which reduces certainty. Considering season BTTS 68% vs 35%, league BTTS 54% and the higher xG, I assign approximately 60% chance to BTTS - Yes and 40% to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.28 goals for Municipal Limeño and 1.25 for Águila (total 2.53), based on average attacking xG and opponent defensive xG: 1.50 (home xG) vs 1.06 (xG conceded by visitors) and 1.36 vs 1.14 for the away side. With a cumulative mean of 2.53, a Poisson distribution yields ~72% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~46% for Over 2.5 and ~25% for Over 3.5. Seasonal rates confirm a goal-prone tendency — the home team has 86% of matches Over 1.5 and 64% Over 2.5, the visitors 60% and 35% — which strengthens the Over signal, particularly for 1.5. Additionally, the home side averages 4.33 shots on target with a 17% conversion rate, while the visitors average 4.0 SOT and a 12% conversion, supporting a higher number of scoring opportunities. Based on xG and seasonal figures, the best and strongest market to back is Over 1.5 (side: Over) with a projected probability of approximately 72%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to the home team leading at the break: Municipal Limeño led at half-time in 52% of matches (11 occurrences) and scores on average 1.1 goals in the first half versus Águila’s 0.35, with total home first-half goals of 38 compared to 15 for away teams. Over the full match the statistics also favor Limeño — average goals scored 1.64 per game versus 1.10 for Águila, home xG 1.50 versus 1.36 for the visitors, and shot conversion 17% vs 12%, indicating greater attacking efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand Águila performs better in the second half: the visitors score on average 1.40 goals after the break versus 1.19 for the hosts and win second halves in 45% of matches compared to 38% for the home side, so there is a real risk of an equalizer or a turnaround after half-time. Considering the hosts collected 37 points at half-time versus 25 for the visitors and average 1.76 points per match at the break against 1.25, the most likely scenario is 1/1, with 1/X and X/1 as secondary options.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Limeño | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Águila is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Municipal Limeño · 1.6 pts / game - Águila
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Municipal Limeño · 1.38 goals / game - Águila
Municipal Limeño scores in 78% of games (31 of 40 meczów), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 meczów).
Águila scores in 79% of games (33 of 42 meczów), while Municipal Limeño keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 40 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Municipal Limeño
Over / Under - Águila
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Municipal Limeño · 1.5 pts / game - Águila
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Limeño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Águila - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Municipal Limeño
Águila
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Limeño | Liga | Águila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJuan Carlos Argueta
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJavier de Jesús Ferman Reyes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Municipal Limeño's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Águila. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Municipal Limeño 2:0 Águila. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Limeño and Águila?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 0, Águila won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
Municipal Limeño score 1.30 goals per game on average and Águila 1.38. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Municipal Limeño's matches and 52% of Águila's.
What form are Municipal Limeño and Águila in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Limeño have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Águila 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.