Mura vs Maribor: match statistics
Mura vs Maribor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mura played against Maribor in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Mesti Stadion Fazanerija. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mura has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Maribor has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mura scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 1.59. Maribor scores 1.66 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Mura's games and 47% of Maribor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 56%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Maribor has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.48 per game. Mura takes 11.6 shots per game, while Maribor takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mura leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Maribor leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mura's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Maribor, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
On paper Maribor appears the favorite: this season they have 14 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses with 53 goals scored versus Mura’s 7 wins, 7 draws, 18 losses and 31 goals. Recent form is similar — over the last five matches both teams have 1 win and 4 losses, averaging 0.6 points per game and 4 goals scored each. At home Mura averages 1.13 goals for and 1.19 against with xG for 1.50 and xG against 1.22, while Maribor away averages 1.06 goals for and 1.31 against with xG for 1.63 and xG against 1.53, indicating higher chance-generation from Maribor. Additionally Maribor registers more shots on target (3.94 vs 3.63) and greater possession (53% vs 47%) and seasonally have scored 22 more goals and conceded 13 fewer, suggesting superior attacking quality and overall efficiency; therefore I predict an away win with a probability distribution of 25% home / 30% draw / 45% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mura scores on average 2.4 goals per game this season with xG 1.82 and at home averages 5.87 shots on target per match, indicating high home scoring potential. Maribor averages 1.06 goals per game and xG 1.63, but has only 9% shot conversion and kept a clean sheet in 25% of away matches, so may struggle to finish despite creating chances. The last 5 matches for both teams show BTTS at 40% and a low number of goals scored (avg. 0.8 per match each), but Mura conceded 1.4 goals in the last 5 and Maribor 1.8, which favors goals from both sides. Additionally, the league has a high BTTS rate of 59% and an average of 3.09 goals per game, and Mura’s advantage in conversion and shots on target (17% vs 9% and 5.87 vs 3.94) increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal, so I rate BTTS - Yes at 62% and No Goal at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mura scores an average of 2.4 goals per home match with xG 1.82 and 5.87 shots on target, while Maribor averages 1.06 goals away with xG 1.63 and 3.94 shots on target. A model combining the home attack (xG 1.82) and the away defense (xG against 1.53) yields an expected ~1.68 goals for Mura and 1.53 for Maribor, totaling 3.21 goals. Season percentages for matches over 1.5 goals are 93% for the home side and 69% for the away side, which, combined with the expected 3.21 goals, suggests strong backing for Over 1.5 (≈83%). Over 2.5 has moderate backing (seasonal 67%/44% for home/away; Poisson with mu=3.21 ≈62%), whereas Over 3.5 drops to about 40% (home 47%, away 19%). I pick Over 1.5 as the best line because Mura’s high finishing rate (conversion 17% vs Maribor 9%) and the fact that 94% of Maribor’s away matches are Over 0.5 increase the probability of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A strong signal comes from the first half: Mura led at the break in 12 matches (80%), scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding only 0.27 in the first half. Over full matches Mura scores an average of 2.40 goals per game, while Maribor concedes an average of 1.31 goals; additionally Mura generates xG of 1.82 versus Maribor’s xG against of 1.53, records 5.87 shots on target versus 3.94, and has a conversion rate of 17% compared to the opponents’ 9%. Mura accumulated 38 points at half-time compared to Maribor’s 22 and has a half-time points average of 2.53 vs 1.38, confirming the home side’s dominance before the break. On that basis the most likely scenario is Mura leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1) — I assess its probability at around 60%; draws and turnarounds are less likely, since Maribor led at the break in only 6 matches (38%) and has a lower shot conversion.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maribor is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Mura · 1.66 goals / game - Maribor
Maribor is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Mura · 1.28 goals / game - Maribor
Mura scores in 53% of games (17 of 32 meczów), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 meczów).
Maribor scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Maribor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Maribor is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / game - Mura · 1.91 pts / game - Maribor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mura
Maribor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Maribor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MariborYellow cardTéva Gardies
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mura's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Maribor. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Maribor?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 2:1 Maribor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Maribor?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mura won 0, Maribor won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Maribor?
Mura score 0.97 goals per game on average and Maribor 1.66. The PrvaLiga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mura's matches and 47% of Maribor's.
What form are Mura and Maribor in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Maribor 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Maribor?
The statistical background for Mura vs Maribor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.