Musanze vs Gasogi United: match statistics
Musanze vs Gasogi United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze play Gasogi United in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Ubworoherane Football Stadium. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Musanze: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Gasogi United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Gasogi United scores 0.85 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 44%, Gasogi United 41%. Over 2.5: Musanze 35%, Gasogi United 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Gasogi United has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.05. Musanze: 6.0 shots per match, Gasogi United: 5.9.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50. Gasogi United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (11 goals). Gasogi United: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw, as the data strongly point to a split of points: Musanze have drawn 38% of home matches, while Gasogi have drawn 44% of their away games. The visitors are in better form over the last 5 fixtures — scoring 8 goals and averaging 1.2 points per match — whereas Musanze have not scored in this period and average only 0.6 points per match. Seasonally the hosts generate more chances (avg xG 1.14 and 7 shots per match with 55% possession) versus 0.85 xG and 4.38 shots for the visitors away, but that advantage has not recently translated into goals. Defensively the differences are marginal (Musanze concede 1.06 goals at home, Gasogi 1.00 away), and the visitors have a higher clean sheet rate on the road (38% vs 25%), which further neutralizes the hosts’ attacking edge. Overall the balance of evidence favors a draw: Musanze’s scoring woes versus Gasogi’s better form and resilience make a split of points the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Musanze is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Musanze · 0.8 pts / match - Gasogi United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Musanze · 0.85 goals / match - Gasogi United
Musanze is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Musanze · 1.21 goals / match - Gasogi United
Musanze scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Gasogi United scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Musanze
Over / Under — Gasogi United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Musanze · 1.18 pts / match - Gasogi United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gasogi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Gasogi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.21 | 2.12 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Musanze 1 - 0 - 0 Gasogi United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Gasogi United?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 3:2 Gasogi United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Gasogi United?
Musanze score 1.12 goals per game on average and Gasogi United 0.85. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's matches and 41% of Gasogi United's.
What form are Musanze and Gasogi United in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Gasogi United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Gasogi United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.