Musanze vs Marines: match statistics
Musanze presents solid form at their own stadium with a 44% win rate in home matches and a +2 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, indicating game control. Marines struggle with away efficiency – only 38% wins and as many as 63% losses on the road, with 38% of matches ending without them scoring. Although the guests have a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.16), their poor away form (4 losses in the last 5 away matches) weighs against them. Musanze's advantage in possession and the home field asset give the hosts a real chance of victory, though Marines may put up resistance based on their defense (0.88 goals conceded per match away).
Musanze vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Musanze played against Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Musanze has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Marines has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Musanze scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.13. Marines scores 1.13 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's games and 31% of Marines's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 31%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.11 per game. Musanze takes 6.4 shots per game, while Marines takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Musanze leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Marines leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Musanze's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Marines, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Musanze presents solid form at their own stadium with a 44% win rate in home matches and a +2 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, indicating game control. Marines struggle with away efficiency – only 38% wins and as many as 63% losses on the road, with 38% of matches ending without them scoring. Although the guests have a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.16), their poor away form (4 losses in the last 5 away matches) weighs against them. Musanze's advantage in possession and the home field asset give the hosts a real chance of victory, though Marines may put up resistance based on their defense (0.88 goals conceded per match away).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Marines is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Musanze · 1.4 pts / game - Marines
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Musanze · 1.13 goals / game - Marines
Marines is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Musanze · 0.81 goals / game - Marines
Musanze scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
Marines scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Marines
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - Musanze · 1.94 pts / game - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Musanze
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.44 | 1.98 | • 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 32% | • 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 37% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 3:1 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Marines?
Musanze score 1.31 goals per game on average and Marines 1.13. The National Soccer League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's matches and 31% of Marines's.
What form are Musanze and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Marines?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.