MVV vs Almere City: match statistics
Almere City clearly outperforms MVV in terms of form and offensive quality. The hosts occupy the last, 19th position in the table with only 36% home wins and a high average of conceded goals (1.73 per match). MVV has a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches and only 18% clean sheets. Almere City, despite playing away, displays significantly better offensive efficiency with an average of 1.82 goals per away match and 6.09 shots on target. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals, which indicates good scoring form. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Almere City (1.76 vs 1.3). Despite the visitors having 55% away losses, their offensive potential and MVV's defensive weakness make Almere City's victory the most likely scenario.
MVV vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MVV played against Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
MVV has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Almere City has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
MVV scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 2.00. Almere City scores 2.17 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of MVV's games and 63% of Almere City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 75%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Almere City has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.32 per game. MVV takes 11.5 shots per game, while Almere City takes 17.8.
First-half and second-half trends
MVV leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Almere City leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
MVV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Almere City, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almere City clearly outperforms MVV in terms of form and offensive quality. The hosts occupy the last, 19th position in the table with only 36% home wins and a high average of conceded goals (1.73 per match). MVV has a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches and only 18% clean sheets. Almere City, despite playing away, displays significantly better offensive efficiency with an average of 1.82 goals per away match and 6.09 shots on target. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals, which indicates good scoring form. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Almere City (1.76 vs 1.3). Despite the visitors having 55% away losses, their offensive potential and MVV's defensive weakness make Almere City's victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Almere City is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - MVV · 2.4 pts / game - Almere City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 79% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - MVV · 2.17 goals / game - Almere City
Almere City is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - MVV · 1.67 goals / game - Almere City
MVV scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Almere City scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Almere City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almere City is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - MVV · 1.54 pts / game - Almere City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Almere City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MVV
Almere City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.21 | 3.33 | ▲ 3.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from MVV's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Almere City. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Almere City?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 1:1 Almere City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Almere City?
MVV score 1.21 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.17. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of MVV's matches and 63% of Almere City's.
What form are MVV and Almere City in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Almere City 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Almere City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.