Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of September 12, 2026

MVV vs Willem II: match statistics

MVV crest
MVV
0 : 5half-time 0:2
Willem II crest
Willem II
130%(4.30)
X25%(4.40)
245%(1.61)

Willem II are in significantly better form than MVV, occupying 5th place in the table compared to the hosts' 16th position. The visitors have a clear offensive advantage, scoring 10 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding only 3, whereas MVV scored 7 and conceded 8 in the same period. Willem II also boasts superior technical indicators: a higher average of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.47), better shooting accuracy, and higher ball possession (46% vs 43%). The visitors' form in the last five matches (WLWDW) with 2.0 points per game surpasses the hosts' performances (LDDWD) with 1.2 points per game. MVV has a negative goal difference in home matches (0) and only a 40% win rate at home, while Willem II wins 44% of away matches with a positive goal difference (+1). All these factors point to the visitors' advantage, although a slight chance of a draw or a home upset cannot be completely ruled out.

MVV vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

MVV played against Willem II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 0:5.

Recent form

MVV has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Willem II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

MVV scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.91. Willem II scores 1.45 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of MVV's games and 61% of Willem II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 55%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Willem II has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.29 per game. MVV takes 11.4 shots per game, while Willem II takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

MVV leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Willem II leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.68 after halftime.

When the teams score

MVV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Willem II, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Willem II are in significantly better form than MVV, occupying 5th place in the table compared to the hosts' 16th position. The visitors have a clear offensive advantage, scoring 10 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding only 3, whereas MVV scored 7 and conceded 8 in the same period. Willem II also boasts superior technical indicators: a higher average of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.47), better shooting accuracy, and higher ball possession (46% vs 43%). The visitors' form in the last five matches (WLWDW) with 2.0 points per game surpasses the hosts' performances (LDDWD) with 1.2 points per game. MVV has a negative goal difference in home matches (0) and only a 40% win rate at home, while Willem II wins 44% of away matches with a positive goal difference (+1). All these factors point to the visitors' advantage, although a slight chance of a draw or a home upset cannot be completely ruled out.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
0 : 3
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
MVVWillem II
9Shots17
MVVWillem II
4Shots on target8
MVVWillem II
1.09xG1.91
MVVWillem II
1Corners2
MVVWillem II
32Dangerous attacks38
MVVWillem II
7Fouls5
MVVWillem II
3Cards1
MVVWillem II

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.22Goals scored / game1.45
MVVWillem II
1.91Goals allowed / game1.23
MVVWillem II
43%Average possession49%
MVVWillem II
3.97Shots on target / game5.42
MVVWillem II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.41Shots per game14.61
MVVWillem II
3.97Shots on target5.42
MVVWillem II
10.7%Shot conversion9.9%
MVVWillem II
43%Possession49%
MVVWillem II
1.29xG for1.69
MVVWillem II
2xG against1.75
MVVWillem II

Shooting quality

MVV: BalancedWillem II: Attacking
MVVWillem II
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Willem II is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - MVV · 2 pts / game - Willem II

MVV
LDDWD
Season result split
28% W28% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-14
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 2.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Willem II
WLWDW
Season result split
45% W26% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-9
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-5
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Willem II is 19% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - MVV · 1.45 goals / game - Willem II

Willem II is 55% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.91 goals / game - MVV · 1.23 goals / game - Willem II

MVV scoring profile: strong

MVV scores in 63% of games (20 of 32 meczów), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).

Willem II scoring profile: very strong

Willem II scores in 87% of games (27 of 31 meczów), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 meczów).

39Goals scored (season)45
MVVWillem II
61Goals conceded (season)38
MVVWillem II
3.13Average goals per game2.68
MVVWillem II
7Goals scored (last 5)10
MVVWillem II
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
MVVWillem II

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal87%
MVVWillem II
41%2 goals45%
MVVWillem II
16%3 goals13%
MVVWillem II
3%4 goals0%
MVVWillem II

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal74%
MVVWillem II
50%2 goals32%
MVVWillem II
31%3 goals6%
MVVWillem II
19%4 goals6%
MVVWillem II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time29%
MVVWillem II
9%BTTS in both halves6%
MVVWillem II
28%Scored in both halves35%
MVVWillem II

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
MVVWillem II
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
MVVWillem II
80%BTTS - last 540%
MVVWillem II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
MVVWillem II
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
MVVWillem II
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
MVVWillem II

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
MVVWillem II
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
MVVWillem II
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
MVVWillem II

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Willem II is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.84 pts / game - MVV · 1.55 pts / game - Willem II

MVV - half-time state
13% leading47% draw41% trailing
Willem II - half-time state
35% leading48% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.84Points per game (1st half)1.55
MVVWillem II
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.77
MVVWillem II
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
MVVWillem II
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.26
MVVWillem II
38%Clean sheet before half-time61%
MVVWillem II
56%No goal before half-time35%
MVVWillem II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per game (2nd half)1.26
MVVWillem II
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
MVVWillem II
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
MVVWillem II
1.78Average goals (2nd half)1.42
MVVWillem II
34%Clean sheet after half-time48%
MVVWillem II
53%No goal after half-time42%
MVVWillem II

MVV - second-half results

34% W28% D38% L
27
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding215%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Willem II - second-half results

26% W48% D26% L
48
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

MVV - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.402.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Willem II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

MVV
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
6
10
16-30
3
7
31-45
7
13
46-60
7
6
61-75
9
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Willem II
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
11
2
16-30
11
8
31-45
6
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Willem II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaWillem II
Average goals per game 3.133.19 2.68
Both teams scored 56%63% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%63% 55%
Clean sheets 13%20% 26%
Goal before half-time 75%77% 74%
Goal after half-time 84%85% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / game
1.48
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MVVYellow cardThijme Verheijen
  2. Willem IIGoalThomas Verheijdt
  3. MVVSubstitutionOn: Ilano Silva TimasOff: Thijme Verheijen
  4. Willem IIGoalNick DoodemanAssist: Thomas Verheijdt
  5. MVVYellow cardWout Coomans
  6. Willem IIGoalMounir El Allouchi
  7. Willem IISubstitutionOn: Samuel BambaOff: Mounir El Allouchi
  8. MVVYellow cardIlias Breugelmans
  9. Willem IIYellow cardNathan Tjoe-A-On

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from MVV's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Willem II. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Willem II
2 : 2
MVV

FAQ

What was the result of MVV vs Willem II?

The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:5 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Willem II?

MVV score 1.22 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.45. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of MVV's matches and 61% of Willem II's.

What form are MVV and Willem II in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Willem II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Willem II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.