NAC Breda vs Ajax: match statistics
NAC Breda vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NAC Breda play Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
NAC Breda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ajax: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
NAC Breda scores 1.03 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Ajax scores 1.81 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NAC Breda 47%, Ajax 67%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 50%, Ajax 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.52. NAC Breda: 14.1 shots per match, Ajax: 14.9.
Match halves
NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62. Ajax: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
NAC Breda: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ajax is the favorite for this match — the visitors have scored 57 goals this season, averaging 1.87 goals away, while NAC have 30 goals this season and score 1.2 goals at home on average. In the last 5 matches NAC have scored 5 and conceded 12 (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) averaging 0.6 points per game, whereas Ajax have scored 11 and conceded 5 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) averaging 1.6 pts. In terms of quality of chances xG is almost identical — NAC home xG 1.55 vs Ajax away xG 1.53 — but Ajax convert chances better (conversion rate 14% vs 8%) and register more on-target shots (5.13 vs 4.53). Defensively NAC look worse in the short term, conceding 12 goals in 5 matches (2.4 per game), and additionally the hosts fail to score in 33% of home games, while Ajax fail to score away in only 7% of matches. Based on this I tip an Ajax win, although the high draw rate for the visitors on the road (60% according to data) increases the likelihood of a share of points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - NAC Breda · 1.2 pts / match - Ajax
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.81 goals / match - Ajax
Ajax is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.17 goals / match - Ajax
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
Ajax scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — NAC Breda
Over / Under — Ajax
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 93% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - NAC Breda · 1.81 pts / match - Ajax
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NAC Breda
Ajax
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NAC Breda 0 - 0 - 1 Ajax. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The Eredivisie match finished NAC Breda 0:2 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Ajax?
NAC Breda score 1.03 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.81. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 47% of NAC Breda's matches and 67% of Ajax's.
What form are NAC Breda and Ajax in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ajax 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Ajax?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NAC Breda vs Ajax: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.