NAC Breda vs MVV: match statistics
NAC Breda vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NAC Breda played against MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on October 9, 2026. Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
NAC Breda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. MVV has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
NAC Breda scores 2.11 goals per game and allows 2.11. MVV scores 1.44 and allows 2.11. Games in this league average 3.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 89% of NAC Breda's games and 67% of MVV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 89% and 67%, compared with league averages of 71% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 2.19 to 1.26 per game. NAC Breda takes 21.8 shots per game, while MVV takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
NAC Breda leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. MVV leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
NAC Breda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For MVV, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.63 goals. Both teams score in 71% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NAC Breda have the edge in chance creation at home, averaging 2.47 xG and 7 shots on target per match, while MVV average 1.24 xG and 3.5 shots on target away from home. The hosts score an average of 2.25 goals at home, while the visitors concede as many as 3.25 goals away, pointing to a NAC win. The last five matches also suggest the hosts have the advantage: they have scored 12 goals and collected 7 points, compared with MVV’s 5 goals and 4 points. However, the risk of an upset remains considerable, as NAC concede an average of 2.25 goals at home and MVV score 1.75 goals per match on the road. Despite MVV’s higher league position—5th compared with NAC’s 9th—the hosts’ advantage in chance quality and recent finishing gives them the better chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 100% of MVV’s away matches and in each of NAC Breda’s last 5 games, a strong indicator that both teams can score. NAC have recently averaged 2.4 goals per match, while MVV have conceded 3.0, making a goal from the hosts particularly likely. The visitors average 1.75 goals away from home, while NAC have conceded an average of 2.4 in their last 5 matches, giving MVV a realistic chance to respond. Caution is warranted, however, as NAC have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home games and MVV have recently averaged just 1.0 goal. Even so, the combination of the hosts’ current scoring form and the visitors’ away effectiveness points to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
NAC Breda have scored and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches, with each of those games producing at least 3 goals. MVV have conceded an average of 3.0 goals recently, while the Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 100% of their away matches. In addition, NAC have scored in 80% of their home games, while MVV have found the net in 100% of their away matches, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. With a projected total of 3.3 goals, Over 1.5 goals offers value; it is a stronger pick than Over 2.5, as NAC’s home matches have cleared the higher line in only 40% of cases.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a NAC Breda win at the final whistle: the hosts were level at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches, while MVV were level at half-time in 2 of their 4 away games. After the break, NAC won 60% of their home halves, whereas MVV lost 50% of their away halves, conceding an average of 2 goals in those matches. The case for a home win at full-time is further supported by MVV conceding an average of 3.25 goals away from home, compared with 1.2 goals conceded by NAC at home. NAC leading at the break remains a significant alternative, as the team was ahead after 45 minutes in 4 of its last 5 matches overall. Despite this recent run, frequent draws in NAC’s home matches give X/1 a slight edge over 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NAC Breda is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - NAC Breda · 0.8 pts / game - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
2.11 goals / game - NAC Breda · 1.44 goals / game - MVV
NAC Breda scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
MVV scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NAC Breda
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / game - NAC Breda · 1.33 pts / game - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NAC Breda
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.22 | 3.63 | • 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 89% | 68% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of NAC Breda vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished NAC Breda 1:0 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs MVV?
NAC Breda score 2.11 goals per game on average and MVV 1.44. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 89% of NAC Breda's matches and 67% of MVV's.
What form are NAC Breda and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and MVV 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs MVV?
The statistical background for NAC Breda vs MVV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.