Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción play Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 22:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Deportivo Recoleta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 68%, Deportivo Recoleta 68%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 45%, Deportivo Recoleta 64%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.19. Nacional Asunción: 12.6 shots per match, Deportivo Recoleta: 10.9.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-3-1. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Nacional Asunción averages 1.63 goals scored and concedes only 0.88 at home, with xG for 1.27 and xG against 1.16, indicating an efficient attack and solid defense in home matches. Deportivo Recoleta on the road scores 1.13 and concedes 1.5, has xG for 1.04 and xG against 1.48 and a 63% loss rate away, so their away performances appear vulnerable to conceding goals. The hosts generate more shots (11.88 avg and 3.88 on target at home) with a higher conversion of 14% versus the visitors’ 9.5 shots avg, 3.25 on target and 12% conversion; additionally Nacional failed to score in only 13% of home games compared to Recoleta’s 25% away. In the short term the visitors have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches versus 5 for the hosts and average 1.6 points in this period against Nacional’s 1.2, giving them a scoring form edge that does not, however, offset their weaker away performances. Considering a 50% home win rate, a +6 goal difference and superior defensive metrics at their stadium, I predict a Nacional victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Recoleta is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asunción is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.45 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional Asunción
Over / Under — Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Recoleta is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.41 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nacional Asunción 1 - 3 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 2:1 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asunción score 1.41 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.59. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 68% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The statistical background for Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.