Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: match statistics
Nacional Asunción displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have not suffered a defeat at their own stadium in the last three matches (WWLD), scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Guaraní has not won any away matches (0% Win%), showing poor form LDDL and a negative goal difference of -2. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, which, given Nacional's offensive efficiency (averaging 3 goals per home match), puts them in a difficult position. The higher average possession of the hosts (57% vs 52%) and better shot conversion (19% vs 13%) further support a victory for Nacional Asunción, although Guaraní's solid draw form (50% Draw%) could make the match evenly contested.
Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nacional Asunción played against Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Nacional Asunción has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Guaraní has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Nacional Asunción scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Guaraní scores 2.17 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Nacional Asunción's games and 67% of Guaraní's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 83%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guaraní has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.17 per game. Nacional Asunción takes 10.9 shots per game, while Guaraní takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Guaraní leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nacional Asunción's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Guaraní, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Asunción displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have not suffered a defeat at their own stadium in the last three matches (WWLD), scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Guaraní has not won any away matches (0% Win%), showing poor form LDDL and a negative goal difference of -2. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, which, given Nacional's offensive efficiency (averaging 3 goals per home match), puts them in a difficult position. The higher average possession of the hosts (57% vs 52%) and better shot conversion (19% vs 13%) further support a victory for Nacional Asunción, although Guaraní's solid draw form (50% Draw%) could make the match evenly contested.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Nacional Asunción · 2.17 goals / game - Guaraní
Nacional Asunción is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Nacional Asunción · 1.5 goals / game - Guaraní
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
Guaraní scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Asunción is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Nacional Asunción · 1.33 pts / game - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nacional Asunción
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.35 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 56% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Nacional Asunción's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Guaraní. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 1:1 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Guaraní?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Guaraní won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
Nacional Asunción score 2.00 goals per game on average and Guaraní 2.17. The Division Profesional average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 67% of Guaraní's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guaraní 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.