Bolivia - LFPBEstadio Victor Agustín UgarteData current as of October 16, 2026

Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nacional Potosí plays Bolívar in LFPB (Bolivia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte.

Recent form

Nacional Potosí has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bolívar has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nacional Potosí scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.43. Bolívar scores 2.62 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Nacional Potosí's games and 67% of Bolívar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 71%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bolívar has the higher season xG average, 2.11 to 1.45 per game. Nacional Potosí takes 13.1 shots per game, while Bolívar takes 18.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Nacional Potosí leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Bolívar leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.48 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nacional Potosí's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Bolívar, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

LFPB games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.13)
(4.05)
(1.62)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.52Goals scored / game2.62
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.43Goals allowed / game1.05
Nacional PotosíBolívar
54%Average possession63%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
4.71Shots on target / game7.76
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.05Shots per game18.95
Nacional PotosíBolívar
4.71Shots on target7.76
Nacional PotosíBolívar
11.7%Shot conversion13.8%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
54%Possession63%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.45xG for2.11
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.64xG against1.2
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Shooting quality

Nacional Potosí: BalancedBolívar: Dominant
Nacional PotosíBolívar
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bolívar is 114% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Nacional Potosí · 3 pts / game - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí
LWWLD
Season result split
38% W19% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-9
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Bolívar
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-3-3
2.29 pts / game · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.28Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolívar is 72% better for: goals scored per game.

1.52 goals / game - Nacional Potosí · 2.62 goals / game - Bolívar

Bolívar is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.43 goals / game - Nacional Potosí · 1.05 goals / game - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Potosí scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 games), while Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 games).

Bolívar scoring profile: very strong

Bolívar scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 games), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 games).

32Goals scored (season)55
Nacional PotosíBolívar
30Goals conceded (season)22
Nacional PotosíBolívar
2.95Average goals per game3.67
Nacional PotosíBolívar
7Goals scored (last 5)15
Nacional PotosíBolívar
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
Nacional PotosíBolívar

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal90%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%2 goals71%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%3 goals43%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
5%4 goals43%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%2 goals29%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%3 goals5%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
10%4 goals0%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time33%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
24%Scored in both halves62%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
40%BTTS - last 560%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolívar is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / game - Nacional Potosí · 1.81 pts / game - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí - half-time state
43% leading33% draw24% trailing
Bolívar - half-time state
48% leading38% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per game (1st half)1.81
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.14
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.62
Nacional PotosíBolívar
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
52%No goal before half-time24%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.9
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.48
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.76Average goals (2nd half)2.05
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
38%No goal after half-time24%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Nacional Potosí - second-half results

43% W10% D48% L
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolívar - second-half results

52% W33% D14% L
38
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nacional Potosí - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bolívar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.60
Goals scored / game1.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nacional Potosí
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
3
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Bolívar
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
10
2
16-30
9
6
31-45
11
4
46-60
8
2
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nacional Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Bolívar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.91
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
213%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Nacional PotosíLigaBolívar
Average goals per game▼ 2.953.08▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 57%61%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 62%62%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 29%23%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+50%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nacional Potosí's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Bolívar. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Nacional Potosí and Bolívar play?

Nacional Potosí face Bolívar on October 18, 2026 in LFPB at Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and Bolívar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0, Bolívar won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?

Nacional Potosí score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bolívar 2.62. The LFPB average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 67% of Bolívar's.

What form are Nacional Potosí and Bolívar in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bolívar 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.