Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Gran Parque CentralData current as of October 21, 2026

Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nacional plays Liverpool FC Montevideo in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central.

Recent form

Nacional has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Liverpool FC Montevideo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Nacional scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.21. Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.33 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Nacional's games and 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 42%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Liverpool FC Montevideo has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.44 per game. Nacional takes 11.1 shots per game, while Liverpool FC Montevideo takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Nacional leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Liverpool FC Montevideo leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Liverpool FC Montevideo, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.14)
(3.14)
(3.13)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.55Goals scored / game1.33
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.21Goals allowed / game0.94
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
52%Average possession51%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4.21Shots on target / game4.39
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.06Shots per game11.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4.21Shots on target4.39
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
14%Shot conversion11.6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
52%Possession51%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.44xG for1.48
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.07xG against1.21
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Shooting quality

Nacional: Efficient finishingLiverpool FC Montevideo: Balanced
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nacional is 36% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Nacional · 2.2 pts / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W12% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-4-11
1.76 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-5
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Liverpool FC Montevideo
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
42% W33% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-8
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 17% better for: goals scored per game.

1.55 goals / game - Nacional · 1.33 goals / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.21 goals / game - Nacional · 0.94 goals / game - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 games), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (15 of 33 games).

Liverpool FC Montevideo scoring profile: strong

Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 games), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 games).

51Goals scored (season)44
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
40Goals conceded (season)31
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
2.76Average goals per game2.27
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
11Goals scored (last 5)7
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal76%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%2 goals33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
18%3 goals18%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%4 goals6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal55%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
39%2 goals27%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
12%3 goals12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%4 goals0%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
Liverpool FC Montevideo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 33 games
50%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%BTTS in both halves6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
30%Scored in both halves18%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
40%BTTS - last 560%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional - half-time state
33% leading48% draw18% trailing
Liverpool FC Montevideo - half-time state
30% leading55% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per game (1st half)1.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.64
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.09
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
64%Clean sheet before half-time67%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%No goal before half-time52%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.27
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.18
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%Clean sheet after half-time58%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
36%No goal after half-time55%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional - second-half results

39% W33% D27% L
49
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results

24% W55% D21% L
48
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.20
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Liverpool FC Montevideo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.41.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
7
6
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
10
9
31-45
4
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Liverpool FC Montevideo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaLiverpool FC Montevideo
Average goals per game▲ 2.762.37▼ 2.27
Both teams scored▲ 55%50%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%44%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time• 67%67%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%73%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nacional's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Liverpool FC Montevideo. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
1 : 3
Nacional
Club Nacional de Football
3 : 1
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Liverpool FC Montevideo
2 : 2
Club Nacional de Football

FAQ

When do Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo play?

Nacional face Liverpool FC Montevideo on October 25, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Gran Parque Central. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Liverpool FC Montevideo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

Nacional score 1.55 goals per game on average and Liverpool FC Montevideo 1.33. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional's matches and 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's.

What form are Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Liverpool FC Montevideo 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

The statistical background for Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.