Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Gran Parque CentralData current as of 16 July 2026

Nacional vs Wanderers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional play Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central.

Current form

Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Wanderers: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional 55%, Wanderers 50%. Over 2.5: Nacional 65%, Wanderers 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Nacional has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.39. Nacional: 11.9 shots per match, Wanderers: 10.7.

Match halves

Nacional: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.85. Wanderers: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.56)
(3.85)
(5.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.55Goals scored / match1.2
NacionalWanderers
1.3Goals conceded / match1.2
NacionalWanderers
54%Average possession47%
NacionalWanderers
4.7Shots on target / match4.1
NacionalWanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.95Shots per match10.7
NacionalWanderers
4.7Shots on target4.1
NacionalWanderers
13%Shot conversion11.2%
NacionalWanderers
54%Possession47%
NacionalWanderers
1.51xG for1.39
NacionalWanderers
1.03xG against1.43
NacionalWanderers

Shooting quality

Nacional: Efficient finishingWanderers: Balanced
NacionalWanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)39%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Nacional · 1.8 pts / match - Wanderers

Nacional
WWLWD
Season result split
50% W10% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-8
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Wanderers
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W25% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-7
1.45 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.55 goals / match - Nacional · 1.2 goals / match - Wanderers

Wanderers is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Nacional · 1.2 goals / match - Wanderers

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Wanderers scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

31Goals scored (season)24
NacionalWanderers
26Goals conceded (season)24
NacionalWanderers
2.85Average goals in match2.4
NacionalWanderers
5Goals scored (last 5)8
NacionalWanderers
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
NacionalWanderers

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal75%
NacionalWanderers
50%2 goals25%
NacionalWanderers
20%3 goals10%
NacionalWanderers
5%4 goals5%
NacionalWanderers

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal60%
NacionalWanderers
35%2 goals40%
NacionalWanderers
20%3 goals10%
NacionalWanderers
5%4 goals10%
NacionalWanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time20%
NacionalWanderers
0%BTTS in both halves5%
NacionalWanderers
25%Scored in both halves20%
NacionalWanderers

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
NacionalWanderers
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
NacionalWanderers
40%BTTS - last 540%
NacionalWanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
NacionalWanderers
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
NacionalWanderers
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NacionalWanderers

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
NacionalWanderers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
NacionalWanderers
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
NacionalWanderers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing
Wanderers - half-time state
30% leading45% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.35
NacionalWanderers
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.55
NacionalWanderers
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
NacionalWanderers
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.1
NacionalWanderers
55%Clean sheet before half-time55%
NacionalWanderers
50%No goal before half-time50%
NacionalWanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.4
NacionalWanderers
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
NacionalWanderers
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
NacionalWanderers
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.3
NacionalWanderers
55%Clean sheet after half-time60%
NacionalWanderers
45%No goal after half-time55%
NacionalWanderers

Nacional - second-half results

45% W20% R35% P
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wanderers - second-half results

35% W35% R30% P
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
7
0
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Wanderers
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
3
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaWanderers
Average goals in match 2.852.42 2.40
Both teams scored 55%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%46% 50%
Clean sheets 30%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 75%
Goal after half-time 85%73% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nacional 2 - 1 - 0 Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Club Nacional de Football
2 : 0
Montevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club
Montevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
3 : 1
Montevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club

FAQ

When do Nacional and Wanderers play?

Nacional face Wanderers on 17 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Gran Parque Central. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Wanderers?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Wanderers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Wanderers?

Nacional score 1.55 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.20. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional's matches and 50% of Wanderers's.

What form are Nacional and Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Wanderers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Wanderers?

The statistical background for Nacional vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.