Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar: match statistics
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naft Gachsaran play Kara Gostar in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 3 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Naft Gachsaran Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Naft Gachsaran: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Kara Gostar: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naft Gachsaran scores 0.74 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Kara Gostar scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naft Gachsaran 44%, Kara Gostar 57%. Over 2.5: Naft Gachsaran 32%, Kara Gostar 14%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Kara Gostar has higher xG: 1.35 vs 0.66. Naft Gachsaran: 0.5 shots per match, Kara Gostar: 3.4.
Match halves
Naft Gachsaran: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.35. Kara Gostar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Naft Gachsaran: 76-90+ (10 goals). Kara Gostar: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I expect a draw: Naft Gachsaran has 13 draws this season and a 27% home draw rate, while Kara Gostar records 100% draws away, which increases the probability of a points split. The home side is in a clear offensive crisis — in the last 5 matches they scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game), did not win any (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and conceded 10 goals (2.0 per game). The visitors show better quality of chances: away they average 12 shots and 6 on target, have a conversion rate of 8% and average xG 1.58 with xG against 1.16, so they create more expected opportunities. Defensively Naft concedes 1.07 goals per game at home and has a negative goal difference in home matches (-4), while Kara concedes 1.0 goals on the road, which together with the high draw percentage suggests a goalless/low-margin final score. Considering all numbers, I give the draw the edge (50%), home win 30% and away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naft Gachsaran | Kara Gostar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -51% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.40 | 0.39 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kara Gostar is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran · 1.8 pts / match - Kara Gostar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kara Gostar is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran · 0.86 goals / match - Kara Gostar
Kara Gostar is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran · 0.71 goals / match - Kara Gostar
Naft Gachsaran scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Kara Gostar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Kara Gostar scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Naft Gachsaran keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Naft Gachsaran
Over / Under — Kara Gostar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naft Gachsaran is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran · 0.71 pts / match - Kara Gostar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naft Gachsaran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kara Gostar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naft Gachsaran
Kara Gostar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Naft Gachsaran | Liga | Kara Gostar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.94 | 1.59 | • 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 30% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar?
The Azadegan League match finished Naft Gachsaran 0:1 Kara Gostar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar?
Naft Gachsaran score 0.74 goals per game on average and Kara Gostar 0.86. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Naft Gachsaran's matches and 57% of Kara Gostar's.
What form are Naft Gachsaran and Kara Gostar in?
Over the last 5 games Naft Gachsaran have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Kara Gostar 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


