Nafta vs Bistrica: match statistics
Nafta vs Bistrica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nafta play Bistrica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nafta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bistrica: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nafta scores 2.17 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Bistrica scores 1.67 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nafta 60%, Bistrica 40%. Over 2.5: Nafta 47%, Bistrica 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Nafta has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.38. Nafta: 12.3 shots per match, Bistrica: 9.8.
Match halves
Nafta: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.23. Bistrica: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Nafta: 76-90+ (14 goals). Bistrica: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Nafta is the clear favorite: as league leaders (position 1) they have a record of 19 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, and at home they average 2.67 goals and 13.83 shots per match. In the last 5 matches Nafta scored 12 goals, won 4 of 5 fixtures and conceded only 2 goals, while Bistrica in their last 5 games have 6 goals, 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Nafta averages 5.67 shots on target per game with a finishing rate of 19%, whereas Bistrica away manage only 3.75 shots on target and a 14% conversion rate, giving the hosts an advantage in quality of shooting opportunities. Defensively Nafta concede 0.83 goals at home (avg xG against 1.37), and Bistrica concede 1.17 away (xG against 1.35); additionally Nafta failed to score in 0% of home matches, while Bistrica failed to score in 42% of their away games. Considering the higher shot volume (13.83 vs 8.92), better efficiency (19% vs 14%) and superior points return over the last 5 matches (avg 2.6 points vs 1.0), I assess the probabilities as: Nafta 70%, draw 18%, Bistrica 12%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nafta | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nafta is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nafta · 1.8 pts / match - Bistrica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nafta is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
2.17 goals / match - Nafta · 1.67 goals / match - Bistrica
Nafta is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Nafta · 1.2 goals / match - Bistrica
Nafta scores in 100% of matches (30 of 30 matches), while Bistrica keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Bistrica scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nafta
Over / Under — Bistrica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nafta is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.03 pts / match - Nafta · 1.43 pts / match - Bistrica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nafta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bistrica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nafta
Bistrica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Nafta | Liga | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.82 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nafta 1 - 0 - 0 Bistrica. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nafta vs Bistrica?
The 2. SNL match finished Nafta 2:1 Bistrica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nafta vs Bistrica?
Nafta score 2.17 goals per game on average and Bistrica 1.67. The 2. SNL average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nafta's matches and 40% of Bistrica's.
What form are Nafta and Bistrica in?
Over the last 5 games Nafta have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bistrica 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nafta vs Bistrica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


