Nafta vs Mura: match statistics
Nafta vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nafta played against Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on August 1, 2026. Venue: Športni park Lendava. Final score: 5:2.
Recent form
Nafta has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Mura has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nafta scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mura scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Nafta's games and 50% of Mura's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 22% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nafta has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.05 per game. Nafta takes 14.5 shots per game, while Mura takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Nafta leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Mura leads at halftime in 100% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nafta's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Mura, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 22% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mura is the favorite: Nafta have lost 100% of home matches and average 0.0 goals scored per home game with 100% of home matches goalless, while Mura average 2.0 goals away and have 0% goalless away matches. In the last 5 meetings Mura have scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins, whereas Nafta have 5 goals and a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss; Mura average 2.0 points per game in the last 5, Nafta 1.6. Nafta generate higher home xG (1.84) and average 15 shots per game (6 on target), but home conversion is 0%, indicating finishing issues. Both teams concede around 2.0 goals per game (Nafta 2.0 at home, Mura 2.0 away), but Mura’s higher efficiency (17% conversion) and no goalless games for the visitors tilt the edge in Mura’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Nafta: at home they have a 100% clean sheet rate this season and the hosts’ seasonal BTTS is 0%, while league-wide BTTS occurs in only 22% of matches with 89% of games ending in a clean sheet. Mura, meanwhile, averages 2.0 goals per game this season and has a seasonal BTTS of 100%; in the last 5 fixtures Mura recorded BTTS in 60% of cases (Mura scored 9 goals in 5 matches versus Nafta’s 5). Offensively Mura holds the edge: xG per game 1.39 vs 0.71 for Nafta, on average 12 shots vs 4 and 4 shots on target vs 2, which increases the likelihood of the away team scoring. However, Nafta’s last 5 matches show xG of 1.7 and they concede only 0.6 goals on average, suggesting a strong home defense. Considering these signals, I favor the 'No' scenario, estimating its probability at 65% vs 35% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals as the average of home attack xG and away defense xG: Nafta (0.71 + 1.57)/2 = 1.14, Mura (1.39 + 1.51)/2 = 1.45, total 2.59. For a Poisson distribution with a sum of 2.59, the probability of over 1.5 goals (>=2) is about 73%, over 2.5 (>=3) ~48%, and over 3.5 (>=4) ~26%. Mura scores on average 2.0 goals per match this season, averages 12.0 shots and 4.0 on target, and has BTTS 100% in away games, which increases the likelihood of more goals. Nafta at home has 100% clean sheets this season, averages only 4.0 shots with 2.0 on target and a low attacking xG of 0.71, but their xG against of 1.51 indicates a risk of conceding; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 with a 73% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors (Mura) are the favorites: their average xG is 1.39 versus Nafta’s 0.71, and their average shots are 12 versus 4, which demonstrates a clear offensive advantage for Mura. In the last five matches Mura led at the break in 80% of games (4 of 5) and scored seven first-half goals, while Nafta had only two such goals, so the visitors more often score in the first half. Nafta, however, has a seasonal average of 0.0 goals conceded at HT and 100% clean sheets at Half-Time (1 of 1), whereas Mura concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, which may limit the margin of the home side’s defeat. Overall, considering xG, 12 vs 4 shots and Mura’s 80% share of leads at the break, the most likely scenario is 2/2 (50%); an alternative is a draw at half-time and a Mura comeback to win X/2 (12%); other outcomes carry lower probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nafta | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mura is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / game - Nafta · 2 pts / game - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nafta scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
Mura scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nafta
Over / Under - Mura
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mura is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Nafta · 3 pts / game - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nafta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nafta
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Nafta | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.33 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nafta vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Nafta 5:2 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nafta vs Mura?
Nafta score 1.50 goals per game on average and Mura 1.50. The PrvaLiga average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Nafta's matches and 50% of Mura's.
What form are Nafta and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Nafta have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Mura 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nafta vs Mura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.