Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nairobi United played against Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on December 21, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Nairobi United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gor Mahia has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nairobi United scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.14. Gor Mahia scores 1.57 and allows 0.79. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Nairobi United's games and 36% of Gor Mahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 29%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nairobi United has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.54 per game. Nairobi United takes 10.1 shots per game, while Gor Mahia takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Nairobi United leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nairobi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). For Gor Mahia, it is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
17Shots15
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
2Shots on target3
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
1.49xG1.36
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
3Corners4
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
39Dangerous attacks28
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
-1Fouls-1
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
-1Cards-1
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
1.29Goals scored / game1.57
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
1.14Goals allowed / game0.79
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
47%Average possession52%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
4.07Shots on target / game4.07
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.07Shots per game9.86
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
4.07Shots on target4.07
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
12.8%Shot conversion15.9%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
47%Possession52%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
1.59xG for1.54
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
1.58xG against1.19
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Shooting quality

Nairobi United: Counter-attackingGor Mahia: Efficient finishing
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
Accuracy (shots on target)40%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gor Mahia is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Nairobi United · 2 pts / game - Gor Mahia

Nairobi United
LLLDW
Season result split
50% W7% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-6
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Gor Mahia
WLWDW
Season result split
64% W14% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-3
2.07 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gor Mahia is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Nairobi United · 1.57 goals / game - Gor Mahia

Gor Mahia is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Nairobi United · 0.79 goals / game - Gor Mahia

Nairobi United scoring profile: mixed

Nairobi United scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 meczów).

Gor Mahia scoring profile: very strong

Gor Mahia scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)22
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
16Goals conceded (season)11
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
2.43Average goals per game2.36
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal86%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
36%2 goals43%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
21%3 goals21%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
7%4 goals7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal50%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
36%2 goals14%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
7%3 goals7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0%4 goals7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
14%Scored in both halves7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
40%BTTS - last 540%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time36%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

2nd half

36%Min. 1 goal after half-time43%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gor Mahia is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Nairobi United · 1.57 pts / game - Gor Mahia

Nairobi United - half-time state
21% leading64% draw14% trailing
Gor Mahia - half-time state
29% leading71% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)1.57
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.07
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.79Average goals (1st half)0.5
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
71%Clean sheet before half-time93%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
71%No goal before half-time64%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)1.43
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.14
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
0.57Average goals (2nd half)0.64
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
79%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia
79%No goal after half-time71%
Nairobi UnitedGor Mahia

Nairobi United - second-half results

14% W71% R14% P
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding238%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gor Mahia - second-half results

29% W57% R14% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding221%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nairobi United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.20.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.20.2
1 goal20%20%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gor Mahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.40.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nairobi United
ScoredConceded
10
11
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gor Mahia
ScoredConceded
12
8
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
126%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nairobi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 56% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

Gor Mahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 55% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Nairobi UnitedLigaGor Mahia
Average goals per game 2.431.90 2.36
Both teams scored 36%39% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%30% 29%
Clean sheets 29%39% 50%
Goal before half-time 43%34% 36%
Goal after half-time 36%37% 43%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.90
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defensive advantage
+-12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
34%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
37%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 1:1 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?

Nairobi United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.57. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Nairobi United's matches and 36% of Gor Mahia's.

What form are Nairobi United and Gor Mahia in?

Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gor Mahia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.