Nairobi United vs Tusker: match statistics
Nairobi United vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nairobi United play Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nairobi United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tusker: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.34 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 48%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 34%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Nairobi United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.42. Nairobi United: 9.4 shots per match, Tusker: 10.9.
Match halves
Nairobi United: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21. Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 0-15 (27 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Nairobi United are slight favorites: the hosts have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 per match), while Tusker have only 5 goals in that period (1.0 per match); Nairobi have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per match), whereas the visitors have 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match). Chance-creation metrics favor Nairobi: the hosts average xG 1.56 at home versus the visitors' xG 1.25 away, they average 10.77 shots and 4.15 shots on target per match with a 14% conversion rate, while Tusker register 9 shots, 3.57 shots on target and a 10% conversion. Defensively the edge goes to the visitors — Tusker concede 0.86 goals per away match and keep clean sheets in 36% of away games, whereas Nairobi concede 1.36 at home and have only 14% clean sheets; the xG against differential is 1.26 (Tusker) versus 1.52 (Nairobi), confirming the visitors' superior defensive resilience. Additionally, Nairobi are less likely to be shut out (21% of home matches without a goal versus 29% for Tusker away), so they have greater confidence in scoring, but Tusker’s solid defense limits the margin of superiority. Considering the hosts' advantage in efficiency and chance creation and the visitors' defensive solidity, I tip a Nairobi United win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nairobi United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nairobi United · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker
Tusker is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker
Nairobi United scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nairobi United
Over / Under — Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nairobi United is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Nairobi United · 1.1 pts / match - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.34 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 43% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 28% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 24% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nairobi United 1 - 0 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 1:0 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Tusker?
Nairobi United score 1.34 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Nairobi United's matches and 34% of Tusker's.
What form are Nairobi United and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tusker 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Tusker?
The statistical background for Nairobi United vs Tusker — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.