Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: match statistics
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nakhon Ratchasima played against Rayong in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The game was played on February 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Nakhon Ratchasima has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Rayong has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.58 goals per game and allows 1.68. Rayong scores 1.55 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of Nakhon Ratchasima's games and 70% of Rayong's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 45%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rayong has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.19 per game. Nakhon Ratchasima takes 9.4 shots per game, while Rayong takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Nakhon Ratchasima leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Rayong leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nakhon Ratchasima's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Rayong, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Thai League T1 games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rayong is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.4 pts / game - Rayong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 167% better for: goals scored per game.
0.58 goals / game - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.55 goals / game - Rayong
Rayong is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.35 goals / game - Rayong
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 37% of games (7 of 19 meczów), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
Rayong scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under - Rayong
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayong is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / game - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.05 pts / game - Rayong
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Rayong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.26 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 85% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Nakhon Ratchasima's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Rayong. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 Rayong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.58 goals per game on average and Rayong 1.55. The Thai League T1 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 70% of Rayong's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Rayong in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Rayong 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The statistical background for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.