Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai: match statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nakhon Ratchasima play Sukhothai in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nakhon Ratchasima: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sukhothai: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.67 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Sukhothai scores 0.77 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nakhon Ratchasima 37%, Sukhothai 47%. Over 2.5: Nakhon Ratchasima 40%, Sukhothai 37%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Nakhon Ratchasima has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.27. Nakhon Ratchasima: 10.0 shots per match, Sukhothai: 12.2.
Match halves
Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.40. Sukhothai: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sukhothai: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Nakhon Ratchasima win — in the last 5 matches the home side have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points per game, while Sukhothai are without a win in their last 5 (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) averaging 0.2 points per game. Offensively, the hosts score 0.64 goals at home on average with an average xG of 1.41, whereas the visitors score only 0.29 goals away with an xG of 1.17, indicating superior attacking efficiency for Nakhon Ratchasima. Defensively, the hosts concede 1.07 goals per home match (xG against 1.70), while Sukhothai concede 2.00 goals away (xG against 1.92), and in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 8 goals versus 3 for the hosts. Additionally, the home side register 2.86 shots on target at home on average with a 6% conversion rate, while Sukhothai average 2.64 shots on target and a 3% conversion; the percentage of matches without scoring is 57% for the hosts and 71% for the visitors, which reduces the visitors’ chances. Considering the better goal balance at home (-6 vs -24 for Sukhothai away), superior efficiency and current form, I assess probabilities of 65% for a home win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Sukhothai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nakhon Ratchasima is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 0.8 pts / match - Sukhothai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sukhothai is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 0.77 goals / match - Sukhothai
Sukhothai is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.4 goals / match - Sukhothai
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Sukhothai keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Sukhothai scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under — Sukhothai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sukhothai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Sukhothai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Sukhothai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima 0 - 0 - 1 Sukhothai. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 1:0 Sukhothai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.67 goals per game on average and Sukhothai 0.77. The Thai League T1 average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 47% of Sukhothai's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Sukhothai in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sukhothai 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.