Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai: match statistics
An analysis of the last five matches indicates an advantage for Nanjing City, who earned 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.4 points for Changchun Yatai. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency with 8 goals in their last 5 fixtures, whereas the visitors scored only 4 goals. Changchun Yatai shows poor form with no wins in their last five matches and a goal difference of -7, which highlights serious defensive issues. Nanjing City, despite two defeats, won two matches and drew one, displaying greater stability. The home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts, although their defensive problems (13 goals conceded) could complicate a secure victory.
Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nanjing City play Changchun Yatai in China League One (China). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nanjing City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Changchun Yatai: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nanjing City scores 0.93 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nanjing City 47%, Changchun Yatai 79%. Over 2.5: Nanjing City 33%, Changchun Yatai 86%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Nanjing City has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Nanjing City: 12.2 shots per match, Changchun Yatai: 10.2.
Match halves
Nanjing City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.27. Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Nanjing City: 31-45+ (5 goals). Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
An analysis of the last five matches indicates an advantage for Nanjing City, who earned 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.4 points for Changchun Yatai. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency with 8 goals in their last 5 fixtures, whereas the visitors scored only 4 goals. Changchun Yatai shows poor form with no wins in their last five matches and a goal difference of -7, which highlights serious defensive issues. Nanjing City, despite two defeats, won two matches and drew one, displaying greater stability. The home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts, although their defensive problems (13 goals conceded) could complicate a secure victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nanjing City | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Changchun Yatai is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nanjing City · 1.4 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Changchun Yatai is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Nanjing City is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1.93 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Nanjing City scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
Changchun Yatai scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Nanjing City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nanjing City
Over / Under — Changchun Yatai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nanjing City is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Nanjing City · 1.14 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nanjing City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nanjing City
Changchun Yatai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Nanjing City | Liga | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai?
The China League One match finished Nanjing City 2:1 Changchun Yatai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai?
Nanjing City score 0.93 goals per game on average and Changchun Yatai 1.50. The China League One average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nanjing City's matches and 79% of Changchun Yatai's.
What form are Nanjing City and Changchun Yatai in?
Over the last 5 games Nanjing City have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Changchun Yatai 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai?
The statistical background for Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.