France - Ligue 1Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis FonteneauData current as of September 06, 2026

Nantes vs Toulouse: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nantes vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nantes plays Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game is scheduled for May 17, 2026. Venue: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau.

Recent form

Nantes has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Toulouse has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nantes scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.58. Toulouse scores 1.42 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Nantes's games and 48% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 55%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.20 per game. Nantes takes 11.3 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Nantes leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.82 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nantes's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 1 games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.78)
(3.39)
(2.78)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.88Goals scored / game1.42
NantesToulouse
1.58Goals allowed / game1.39
NantesToulouse
42%Average possession42%
NantesToulouse
3.3Shots on target / game4.3
NantesToulouse

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.3Shots per game12.85
NantesToulouse
3.3Shots on target4.3
NantesToulouse
7.8%Shot conversion11.1%
NantesToulouse
42%Possession42%
NantesToulouse
1.2xG for1.41
NantesToulouse
1.56xG against1.36
NantesToulouse

Shooting quality

Nantes: BalancedToulouse: Balanced
NantesToulouse
Accuracy (shots on target)29%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toulouse is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Nantes · 1.4 pts / game - Toulouse

Nantes
DLLWL
Season result split
15% W24% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-20
0.70 pts / game · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-10
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Toulouse
LLDWW
Season result split
36% W24% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-13
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toulouse is 61% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - Nantes · 1.42 goals / game - Toulouse

Toulouse is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.58 goals / game - Nantes · 1.39 goals / game - Toulouse

Nantes scoring profile: strong

Nantes scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 meczów).

Toulouse scoring profile: very strong

Toulouse scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 meczów).

29Goals scored (season)47
NantesToulouse
52Goals conceded (season)46
NantesToulouse
2.45Average goals per game2.82
NantesToulouse
5Goals scored (last 5)8
NantesToulouse
7Goals conceded (last 5)11
NantesToulouse

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal70%
NantesToulouse
24%2 goals45%
NantesToulouse
6%3 goals15%
NantesToulouse
0%4 goals9%
NantesToulouse

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal73%
NantesToulouse
45%2 goals36%
NantesToulouse
21%3 goals18%
NantesToulouse
9%4 goals6%
NantesToulouse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time15%
NantesToulouse
6%BTTS in both halves6%
NantesToulouse
12%Scored in both halves24%
NantesToulouse

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
NantesToulouse
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
NantesToulouse
40%BTTS - last 580%
NantesToulouse

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NantesToulouse
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
NantesToulouse
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
NantesToulouse

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
NantesToulouse
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
NantesToulouse
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
NantesToulouse

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nantes - half-time state
21% leading48% draw30% trailing
Toulouse - half-time state
27% leading33% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per game (1st half)1.15
NantesToulouse
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.61
NantesToulouse
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
NantesToulouse
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.27
NantesToulouse
55%Clean sheet before half-time52%
NantesToulouse
61%No goal before half-time61%
NantesToulouse

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)1.48
NantesToulouse
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
NantesToulouse
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
NantesToulouse
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.55
NantesToulouse
36%Clean sheet after half-time58%
NantesToulouse
70%No goal after half-time45%
NantesToulouse

Nantes - second-half results

12% W30% R58% P
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding71%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Toulouse - second-half results

36% W39% R24% P
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nantes - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Toulouse - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nantes
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
9
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.

Toulouse
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
4
9
16-30
7
8
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
16
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nantes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Toulouse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

NantesLigaToulouse
Average goals per game 2.452.82 2.82
Both teams scored 45%51% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%53% 55%
Clean sheets 21%28% 27%
Goal before half-time 64%70% 73%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Stéphanie FrappartMatches officiated: 11
3.91Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 273%Home wins27%Draws0%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Nantes's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toulouse. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Toulouse FC
2 : 2
FC Nantes

FAQ

When do Nantes and Toulouse play?

Nantes face Toulouse on May 17, 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Toulouse?

Nantes score 0.88 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Nantes's matches and 48% of Toulouse's.

What form are Nantes and Toulouse in?

Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Toulouse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Toulouse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.