Nantes vs Toulouse: match statistics
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Nantes vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantes play Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau.
Current form
Nantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Toulouse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantes scores 0.88 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantes 45%, Toulouse 48%. Over 2.5: Nantes 45%, Toulouse 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Toulouse has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.20. Nantes: 11.3 shots per match, Toulouse: 12.8.
Match halves
Nantes: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39. Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Nantes: 31-45+ (9 goals). Toulouse: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toulouse is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nantes · 1.4 pts / match - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Nantes · 1.42 goals / match - Toulouse
Toulouse is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Nantes · 1.39 goals / match - Toulouse
Nantes scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Toulouse scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nantes
Over / Under — Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantes
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.83 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nantes 0 - 1 - 0 Toulouse. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Nantes and Toulouse play?
Nantes face Toulouse on 17 May 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Toulouse?
Nantes score 0.88 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Nantes's matches and 48% of Toulouse's.
What form are Nantes and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Toulouse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Toulouse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.