Naples vs Forward Madison: match statistics
Naples displays solid home form with 50% wins and only 50% draws, remaining undefeated at their home ground. The hosts occupy first place in the table and demonstrate better average ball possession (52% vs 40%) along with a slightly higher xG in home matches (1.42 vs 1.21 of the visitors). Forward Madison, despite a perfect away record this season, relies on a very small sample (only 1 away match), and their overall form is unstable (1.2 points per game, 13 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). The hosts' goal difference (+2 at home) and their 50% clean sheets in home matches outweigh Forward Madison's limited away experience. I expect a Naples victory, although Forward Madison could cause an upset, hence a moderate probability of a draw outcome.
Naples vs Forward Madison: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naples play Forward Madison in USL League One (United States). The match date is 29 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Naples: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Forward Madison: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naples scores 1.06 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Forward Madison scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naples 41%, Forward Madison 50%. Over 2.5: Naples 41%, Forward Madison 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.45. Naples: 12.0 shots per match, Forward Madison: 12.8.
Match halves
Naples: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.59. Forward Madison: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Naples: 76-90+ (7 goals). Forward Madison: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Naples displays solid home form with 50% wins and only 50% draws, remaining undefeated at their home ground. The hosts occupy first place in the table and demonstrate better average ball possession (52% vs 40%) along with a slightly higher xG in home matches (1.42 vs 1.21 of the visitors). Forward Madison, despite a perfect away record this season, relies on a very small sample (only 1 away match), and their overall form is unstable (1.2 points per game, 13 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). The hosts' goal difference (+2 at home) and their 50% clean sheets in home matches outweigh Forward Madison's limited away experience. I expect a Naples victory, although Forward Madison could cause an upset, hence a moderate probability of a draw outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naples | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Naples · 1.86 goals / match - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Naples · 1 goals / match - Forward Madison
Naples scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Forward Madison scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Naples
Over / Under — Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Naples · 2.07 pts / match - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naples
Forward Madison
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Naples | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.85 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Naples 1 - 1 - 0 Forward Madison. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Naples vs Forward Madison?
The USL League One match finished Naples 0:1 Forward Madison. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Naples and Forward Madison?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Naples won 1, Forward Madison won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Naples vs Forward Madison?
Naples score 1.06 goals per game on average and Forward Madison 1.86. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Naples's matches and 50% of Forward Madison's.
What form are Naples and Forward Madison in?
Over the last 5 games Naples have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Forward Madison 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naples vs Forward Madison?
The statistical background for Naples vs Forward Madison — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.