Naples vs NY Cosmos: match statistics
Naples vs NY Cosmos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Naples played against NY Cosmos in USL League One (United States). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Naples has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. NY Cosmos has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Naples scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.59. NY Cosmos scores 1.30 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Naples's games and 67% of NY Cosmos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 74%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NY Cosmos has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.52 per game. Naples takes 12.7 shots per game, while NY Cosmos takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Naples leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. NY Cosmos leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Naples's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For NY Cosmos, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Naples have a clear home advantage: they have won 54% of their home matches, while NY Cosmos have lost 71% of their away games. The biggest difference is in defense — the hosts concede an average of 1.31 goals per home match, compared with 2.43 for the visitors away from home, who have kept a clean sheet in just 7% of those matches. The quality of chances created is similar, with average xG of 1.48 for Naples and 1.50 for NY Cosmos. However, the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.76, compared with 1.35 for the hosts. The last five matches offer some encouragement for the visitors: they scored 10 goals in that run, compared with Naples' 3, but both teams conceded 10 and 8 goals respectively. Despite Naples' recent struggles in front of goal, their defensive edge and the teams' home and away records point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 62% of Naples matches and 71% of NY Cosmos matches, compared with a league average of 61%, which points towards goals for both teams. The visitors score an average of 1.29 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.54; over their last five matches, these figures rose to 2.0 and 1.6, respectively. Naples should have chances to score, as NY Cosmos concede an average of 2.43 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their matches. However, the hosts’ recent scoring form warrants caution: they have scored just 3 goals in total across their last five matches, and BTTS landed in only 20% of those games. Despite this risk, the visitors’ poor defense and BTTS in each of their last five matches make a goal for both teams the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 77% of Naples’ matches and 100% of NY Cosmos’ matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. The visitors concede an average of 2.43 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their games, increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring. Naples, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.54 goals, while NY Cosmos score 1.29, so an away goal is also a realistic possibility. Although Over 2.5 has occurred frequently—in 69% of Naples’ matches and 79% of NY Cosmos’—it requires three goals, making the safer 1.5 line a clearer value pick. The expected total of 3.30 goals further supports this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Naples leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until the final whistle: NY Cosmos were trailing at half-time in 64% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.29 goals before the break. The hosts also have the edge over the season as a whole, winning 38% of their matches compared with 14% for the visitors, who concede an average of 2.43 goals per match against 1.54 for Naples. The hosts’ higher xG (1.66 versus 1.50) and 5.08 shots on target per match compared with 3.79 further strengthen their chances of winning. However, Naples are not certain to lead at the break, having been level at half-time in 62% of their matches and scoring an average of just 0.38 first-half goals. The last five matches also warrant caution: the visitors averaged 2.0 goals, while the hosts averaged 0.6, making a half-time draw followed by a Naples win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Naples | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NY Cosmos is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Naples · 1.2 pts / game - NY Cosmos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NY Cosmos is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Naples · 1.3 goals / game - NY Cosmos
Naples is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Naples · 2 goals / game - NY Cosmos
Naples scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 games), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
NY Cosmos scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Naples
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naples is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Naples · 0.85 pts / game - NY Cosmos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naples - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Naples
NY Cosmos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Naples | Liga | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.70 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Naples's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against NY Cosmos. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Naples vs NY Cosmos?
The USL League One match finished Naples 2:1 NY Cosmos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Naples vs NY Cosmos?
Naples score 1.11 goals per game on average and NY Cosmos 1.30. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Naples's matches and 67% of NY Cosmos's.
What form are Naples and NY Cosmos in?
Over the last 5 games Naples have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and NY Cosmos 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naples vs NY Cosmos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.