Napoli vs Bologna: match statistics
Napoli vs Bologna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Napoli played against Bologna in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Napoli has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bologna has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Napoli scores 1.49 goals per game and allows 0.94. Bologna scores 1.20 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 49% of Napoli's games and 43% of Bologna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 51% and 43%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Napoli has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.40 per game. Napoli takes 13.3 shots per game, while Bologna takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Napoli leads at halftime in 49% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Bologna leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Napoli's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Bologna, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Napoli are the favorites, particularly at home: the hosts average 1.76 goals scored and only 0.88 goals conceded at their stadium, with a 71% home win rate. Offensively Napoli generate 1.61 xG per home match versus Bologna’s 1.21 xG on the road and record more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.76), which translates into a higher volume of clear scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Napoli have scored 6 and conceded 3, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Bologna have only 2 scored and 8 conceded with 0.8 points per game in that period. Defensive metrics also favor Napoli: the hosts have 35% clean sheets at home and an average xG against of 1.13, whereas Bologna have 24% clean sheets away and xG against of 1.30. Considering the superiority in chance creation, the better recent five-match record and the league positions (Napoli 2nd, Bologna 10th), I tip a Napoli victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - No — probability estimated at 70% for 'no' and 30% for 'yes'. Napoli’s home-season BTTS is 28% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, while Bologna’s season BTTS is 59% but 0% in the last 5 games, which favors a No Goal/No Goal scenario. In their last 5 matches Napoli averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 0.6 (6 scored and 3 conceded), whereas Bologna away averages 0.4 goals scored and concedes 1.6 (2 scored and 8 conceded), indicating offensive issues for the visitors. xG and chance metrics favor the hosts: Napoli xG for 1.58 vs xG against 1.00 and 14.94 shots on average, while Bologna has xG for 1.21, xG against 1.30 and 11.18 shots; hosts create more opportunities and visitors have fewer chances on goal. Although Bologna has a higher shot conversion (14% vs Napoli 6%), Napoli’s superiority in chance creation and 39% clean sheets at home (vs 24% away clean sheets for visitors) make 'no' the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for the match is 2.79 (Napoli 1.58 vs Bologna 1.21), which indicates clear potential for at least 2 goals. Seasonal shares of matches over 1.5 are 67% for Napoli and 76% for Bologna (avg ~72%), so Over 1.5 has strong historical backing. The 2.5 line is more balanced — Napoli has only 33% of matches >2.5, Bologna 53% (avg 43%), but the total xG of 2.79 and Napoli’s last 5 matches (average xG 1.67 and 1.2 goals scored) push the probability of Over 2.5 to around 56%. The 3.5 line looks unlikely: seasonal overs are 11% (Napoli) and 35% (Bologna), so I assess Over 3.5 at about 20%. Additionally, Napoli averages 14.94 shots (3.83 on target) with a low conversion of 6%, and Bologna 11.18 shots with a 14% conversion, which may slow Napoli’s xG realization, but the strongest signal remains Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bologna shows a stronger away record: the visitors won 47% of away matches and led at the break in 6 games (35%), while Napoli win only 33% at home and led at the break in just 2 matches (11%). In terms of goals, Bologna average 1.53 goals away and 0.71 by half-time, whereas Napoli at home record 0.89 goals per game and only 0.28 goals by half-time, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will be more active offensively. Napoli generate higher xG (1.58 vs. Bologna’s 1.21) but have a very low conversion rate (6% vs. 14%) and simultaneously keep a clean sheet at half-time in 72% of home matches, which together indicate a high probability of a draw at the break despite the home side’s advantage in chances. Considering the frequent half-time draws (Napoli 61%, Bologna 53%) and Bologna’s greater efficiency in the second half (1.53 goals away and 47% wins), the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2); realistic alternatives are X/X (22%) and 2/2 (14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Napoli is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Napoli · 1.4 pts / game - Bologna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.49 goals / game - Napoli · 1.2 goals / game - Bologna
Napoli is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - Napoli · 1.17 goals / game - Bologna
Napoli scores in 77% of games (27 of 35 meczów), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 meczów).
Bologna scores in 69% of games (24 of 35 meczów), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Napoli
Over / Under - Bologna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / game - Napoli · 1.26 pts / game - Bologna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 49% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bologna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Napoli
Bologna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.43 | 2.41 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 49% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Napoli's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bologna. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Bologna?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 2:3 Bologna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli score 1.49 goals per game on average and Bologna 1.20. The Serie A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Napoli's matches and 43% of Bologna's.
What form are Napoli and Bologna in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bologna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Bologna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.