Naprzód Jędrzejów vs Wisła Kraków II: match statistics

Wisła Kraków II have shown more consistent form across their last five matches, collecting 10 points from 3 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, while Naprzód Jędrzejów have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats over the same period. The visitors have conceded only 6 goals in 5 league matches this season, compared with 13 for the hosts, clearly highlighting Naprzód’s greater defensive vulnerability. At home, Naprzód average 2.33 goals scored and create chances worth 2.23 xG, but they also concede as many as 2.33 goals per match and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Wisła II are unbeaten away from home, recording 1 win and 1 draw, with an average of just 1.00 goals conceded. The hosts should pose a threat in front of goal, but Wisła II’s superior defensive record and more consistent run give the visitors a marginal edge to win.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: the seasonal BTTS rate stands at 67% for Naprzód Jędrzejów and as high as 100% for Wisła Kraków II, compared with the league average of 57%. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.8 goals scored per game, while BTTS occurred in 60% and 80% of those fixtures, respectively. Naprzód conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match during this period, significantly strengthening the reserves’ chances of finding the net. However, the hosts possess solid attacking potential, averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, with an xG of 1.74 and 6.5 shots on target per match, making their goal highly likely as well. Wisła’s stronger defense, conceding 1.0 goal per game this season, does not outweigh the data pointing towards a scenario with goals at both ends. Therefore, BTTS - Yes, or Goal/Goal, is the preferred selection.

Naprzód average 2.0 goals per match, while Wisła II average 1.5, with both teams having scored at least once in 100% of their matches so far. The 1.5-goal line was exceeded in 67% of the hosts’ matches and in all of the visitors’ games, providing clear support for the over. In the last five rounds, both teams scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Naprzód’s games produced as many as 4.4 goals per match due to conceding 2.6 goals per game. The projected total of 2.60 goals also points to a realistic chance of Over 2.5, but 50% of Wisła II’s matches finished with no more than two goals, making Over 1.5 the safer and strongest pick.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by Wisła Kraków II turning the game in their favor. Naprzód were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, but in their last five games they were trailing at half-time as many as 75% of the time, conceding an average of 2.0 goals in those matches. Wisła averaged 1.5 points per game before the break, compared with Naprzód’s 0.67, and their current form is clearly superior: 60% wins in their last five appearances, versus a 40% defeat rate for the hosts. After half-time, the visitors score an average of 1.0 goal, while Naprzód, despite scoring 1.33 goals in this phase, have the weaker current defensive record, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match overall. Wisła also remain unbeaten in their away matches to date, while both teams average 2.0 points per game, pointing to a balanced opening and an advantage for the visitors late on.