Nasaf vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Nasaf vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasaf play Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Nasaf: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasaf scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasaf 58%, Lokomotiv 58%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 33%, Lokomotiv 42%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.39. Nasaf: 12.1 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 13.6.
Match halves
Nasaf: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.83. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Nasaf: 76-90+ (5 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back Nasaf to win (1). At home they average 61% possession, 14.25 shots and 5 shots on target per game with xG 1.64, while Lokomotiv away posts 50% possession, 11.25 shots and 3.75 shots on target with xG 1.46. Defensively Nasaf is superior — they concede 0.5 goals at home on average and keep clean sheets in 50% of matches, whereas Lokomotiv concedes 1.5 goals away and have only 25% away clean sheets. However, Nasaf score just 0.75 goals per home game with a 5% conversion rate, while the visitors score 1.25 goals away with an 11% conversion; additionally Lokomotiv have conceded 9 goals in the last 5 fixtures versus 5 conceded by Nasaf. Considering Nasaf’s better control, higher xG and solid home defence, I assign a 60% probability to a Nasaf win, 25% to a draw and 15% to a Lokomotiv win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasaf | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasaf is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nasaf · 1.25 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Nasaf scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Lokomotiv scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nasaf
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.25 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasaf
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Nasaf | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.56 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Nasaf 2:3 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
Nasaf score 1.25 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.25. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Nasaf's matches and 58% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Nasaf and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.