Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United: match statistics
Nasarawa United holds a decisive advantage as the home team, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins and 50% clean sheets. Their average xG (2.15) in home matches significantly exceeds xG Against (1.35), confirming offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Bayelsa United has very poor away results – only 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-8), coupled with a very low average goals scored (0.58) and a high rate of matches without a goal scored (50%). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Nasarawa United should control possession (57% on average) and exploit the defensive weakness of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.25 goals away. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a confident home victory.
Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nasarawa United played against Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Nasarawa United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bayelsa United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nasarawa United scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 0.75. Bayelsa United scores 0.88 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Nasarawa United's games and 50% of Bayelsa United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 29%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.28 per game. Nasarawa United takes 8.9 shots per game, while Bayelsa United takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Bayelsa United leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nasarawa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Bayelsa United, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.85 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United holds a decisive advantage as the home team, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins and 50% clean sheets. Their average xG (2.15) in home matches significantly exceeds xG Against (1.35), confirming offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Bayelsa United has very poor away results – only 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-8), coupled with a very low average goals scored (0.58) and a high rate of matches without a goal scored (50%). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Nasarawa United should control possession (57% on average) and exploit the defensive weakness of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.25 goals away. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a confident home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nasarawa United is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1 pts / game - Bayelsa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 0.88 goals / game - Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 1.13 goals / game - Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Bayelsa United scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nasarawa United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.17 pts / game - Bayelsa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.71 | 1.85 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Nasarawa United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bayelsa United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 1:1 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
Nasarawa United score 0.96 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.88. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Nasarawa United's matches and 50% of Bayelsa United's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Bayelsa United in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayelsa United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
The statistical background for Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.