Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 64% wins and only 7% losses at their home ground, providing a solid foundation for victory. The hosts average 1.29 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.5, and their xG (2.09) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (1.27), indicating dominance in chance creation. Ikorodu City has very poor away results – only 14% wins and as many as 50% losses, with an unfavorable goal difference of -8 and a low average xG (0.94). Moreover, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, given the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. Considering Nasarawa's advantage in possession (57% vs 47%), shooting accuracy, and overall home form, a home win is the most likely scenario, although a draw also remains a realistic option due to both teams' tendency to share points this season.
Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nasarawa United played against Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Nasarawa United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ikorodu City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nasarawa United scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 0.79. Ikorodu City scores 0.93 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Nasarawa United's games and 29% of Ikorodu City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 18%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.39 per game. Nasarawa United takes 8.5 shots per game, while Ikorodu City takes 7.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Ikorodu City leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nasarawa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Ikorodu City, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 64% wins and only 7% losses at their home ground, providing a solid foundation for victory. The hosts average 1.29 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.5, and their xG (2.09) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (1.27), indicating dominance in chance creation. Ikorodu City has very poor away results – only 14% wins and as many as 50% losses, with an unfavorable goal difference of -8 and a low average xG (0.94). Moreover, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, given the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. Considering Nasarawa's advantage in possession (57% vs 47%), shooting accuracy, and overall home form, a home win is the most likely scenario, although a draw also remains a realistic option due to both teams' tendency to share points this season.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ikorodu City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.4 pts / game - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 0.71 goals / game - Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United scores in 61% of games (17 of 28 meczów), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 57% (16 of 28 meczów).
Ikorodu City scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.39 pts / game - Ikorodu City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.68 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Nasarawa United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ikorodu City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 1:0 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
Nasarawa United score 0.89 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 0.93. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Nasarawa United's matches and 29% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ikorodu City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.