Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics
Nasarawa United are displaying impressive home form with 70% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have an edge in expected goals (xG For: 2.2 vs xG Against: 1.27), confirming their dominance in home matches. Niger Tornadoes, however, are struggling badly on the road – with only 10% wins and as much as 80% losses, failing to score in 60% of their matches. The visitors' form in their last five away games is dismal, averaging just 0.5 goals per match and poor shooting statistics (1.6 shots on target per game). Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (57% vs 41%), goal-scoring efficiency, and the goal difference (+9 vs -7), Nasarawa United are the clear favourites for this encounter.
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nasarawa United played against Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Nasarawa United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Niger Tornadoes has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Nasarawa United scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 0.70. Niger Tornadoes scores 1.25 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Nasarawa United's games and 30% of Niger Tornadoes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 30%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.50 per game. Nasarawa United takes 9.4 shots per game, while Niger Tornadoes takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nasarawa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Niger Tornadoes, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United are displaying impressive home form with 70% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have an edge in expected goals (xG For: 2.2 vs xG Against: 1.27), confirming their dominance in home matches. Niger Tornadoes, however, are struggling badly on the road – with only 10% wins and as much as 80% losses, failing to score in 60% of their matches. The visitors' form in their last five away games is dismal, averaging just 0.5 goals per match and poor shooting statistics (1.6 shots on target per game). Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (57% vs 41%), goal-scoring efficiency, and the goal difference (+9 vs -7), Nasarawa United are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Niger Tornadoes is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.2 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 1.25 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Nasarawa United is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.7 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 0.85 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Nasarawa United scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
Niger Tornadoes scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Niger Tornadoes is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.65 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.55 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Nasarawa United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Niger Tornadoes. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 2:1 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Nasarawa United score 0.85 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 1.25. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Nasarawa United's matches and 30% of Niger Tornadoes's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Niger Tornadoes in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The statistical background for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.