Nashville SC vs Minnesota United: match statistics
Nashville SC holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 100% win rate at home and an impressive average of 4 goals scored per match. The home team stands out with a high shot conversion rate (29%) and ball possession dominance (55%), which translates into an xG advantage (1.71 vs 0.57). Minnesota United has yet to secure a win in away matches, drawing all games, and their form in the last five matches is inconsistent (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The away team concedes an average of 2 goals per away match with a lower xG (1.22), indicating defensive issues. Nashville's goal difference (+3) compared to Minnesota's neutral goal difference (0) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, Nashville SC holds a clear advantage, although Minnesota's solid draw record on the road could make the match more balanced than the numbers suggest.
Nashville SC vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC play Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Nashville SC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Minnesota United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.21 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Minnesota United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 50%, Minnesota United 53%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 64%, Minnesota United 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Minnesota United has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Nashville SC: 11.8 shots per match, Minnesota United: 13.1.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.14. Minnesota United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 16-30 (7 goals). Minnesota United: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Nashville SC holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 100% win rate at home and an impressive average of 4 goals scored per match. The home team stands out with a high shot conversion rate (29%) and ball possession dominance (55%), which translates into an xG advantage (1.71 vs 0.57). Minnesota United has yet to secure a win in away matches, drawing all games, and their form in the last five matches is inconsistent (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The away team concedes an average of 2 goals per away match with a lower xG (1.22), indicating defensive issues. Nashville's goal difference (+3) compared to Minnesota's neutral goal difference (0) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, Nashville SC holds a clear advantage, although Minnesota's solid draw record on the road could make the match more balanced than the numbers suggest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1 pts / match - Minnesota United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
2.21 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.2 goals / match - Minnesota United
Nashville SC is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.47 goals / match - Minnesota United
Nashville SC scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Minnesota United scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nashville SC
Over / Under — Minnesota United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Nashville SC · 0.93 pts / match - Minnesota United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Minnesota United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Minnesota United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.30 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 3:1 Minnesota United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
Nashville SC score 2.21 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.20. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nashville SC's matches and 53% of Minnesota United's.
What form are Nashville SC and Minnesota United in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Minnesota United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.