Nashville SC vs Minnesota United: match statistics
Nashville SC holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 100% win rate at home and an impressive average of 4 goals scored per match. The home team stands out with a high shot conversion rate (29%) and ball possession dominance (55%), which translates into an xG advantage (1.71 vs 0.57). Minnesota United has yet to secure a win in away matches, drawing all games, and their form in the last five matches is inconsistent (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The away team concedes an average of 2 goals per away match with a lower xG (1.22), indicating defensive issues. Nashville's goal difference (+3) compared to Minnesota's neutral goal difference (0) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, Nashville SC holds a clear advantage, although Minnesota's solid draw record on the road could make the match more balanced than the numbers suggest.
Nashville SC vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nashville SC played against Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Nashville SC has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Minnesota United has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nashville SC scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Minnesota United scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Nashville SC's games and 50% of Minnesota United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Minnesota United has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.24 per game. Nashville SC takes 10.5 shots per game, while Minnesota United takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Nashville SC leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Minnesota United leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nashville SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Minnesota United, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville SC holds a clear advantage as the home team with a 100% win rate at home and an impressive average of 4 goals scored per match. The home team stands out with a high shot conversion rate (29%) and ball possession dominance (55%), which translates into an xG advantage (1.71 vs 0.57). Minnesota United has yet to secure a win in away matches, drawing all games, and their form in the last five matches is inconsistent (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The away team concedes an average of 2 goals per away match with a lower xG (1.22), indicating defensive issues. Nashville's goal difference (+3) compared to Minnesota's neutral goal difference (0) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistics, Nashville SC holds a clear advantage, although Minnesota's solid draw record on the road could make the match more balanced than the numbers suggest.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Nashville SC · 1.5 goals / game - Minnesota United
Nashville SC is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Nashville SC · 1 goals / game - Minnesota United
Nashville SC scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Minnesota United scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Minnesota United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Nashville SC · 1 pts / game - Minnesota United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Minnesota United - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nashville SC
Minnesota United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 3:1 Minnesota United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
Nashville SC score 2.00 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.50. The MLS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nashville SC's matches and 50% of Minnesota United's.
What form are Nashville SC and Minnesota United in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Minnesota United 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Minnesota United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.