Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nashville SC played against Montreal Impact in MLS (United States). The game was played on July 23, 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Nashville SC has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Montreal Impact has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Nashville SC scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 0.73. Montreal Impact scores 1.47 and allows 2.07. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Nashville SC's games and 47% of Montreal Impact's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 73%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montreal Impact has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.37 per game. Nashville SC takes 11.5 shots per game, while Montreal Impact takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Nashville SC leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Montreal Impact leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nashville SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Montreal Impact, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville holds a clear advantage: this season the hosts have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, winning 88% of home matches and registering no defeats at home (Loss% 0). Offensively at home they score 3.0 goals per game on average, generate xG 1.54 and register 6.13 shots on target with a 23% conversion rate, while Montreal averages 1.5 goals away, has only 4.75 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate. Defensively the visitors are weak — they concede 3.0 goals on average away and allow 1.65 xG, with only 13% clean sheets on the road; the hosts concede 1.13 goals at home and keep 25% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Nashville has scored 11 goals and has a 4-1-0 record, averaging 2.6 pts/game, whereas Montreal has 8 goals and a 2-2-1 record with 1.6 pts/game, which confirms the hosts’ superiority in both efficiency and form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
League stats and recent form favor the "Both Teams To Score" market: BTTS occurs in 61% of league matches, and in the last 5 games both teams recorded BTTS in 60% each. xG indicates realistic scoring chances for both sides: estimated xG for Nashville is around 1.62 (1.59 xG_for_home and 1.65 xG_against_away), and for Montreal about 1.28 (1.46 xG_for_away and 1.09 xG_against_home). Montreal defends poorly — conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game and 31 conceded this season, while Nashville have scored 32 goals at home and concede only 1.0 on average, so Nashville have a high probability of scoring. On the other hand Nashville fail to score in 29% of matches, and hosts’ season BTTS is 43% versus Montreal’s 50%, which partially tempers the signal for “Yes”. Considering the league 61%, recent 60% and balanced xG ~1.62 vs ~1.28, I assess BTTS at 65% (YES) vs 35% (NO).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 2.90 total goals: Nashville ~1.62 xG (xG_for 1.59 vs xG_against_away 1.65 → ~1.62) and Montreal ~1.28 xG (xG_for 1.46 vs xG_against_home 1.09 → ~1.28). Season trends show Montreal has 100% of matches Over 2.5 goals, while Nashville 43%; in the last 5 matches Nashville recorded Over 2.5 in 80% and Montreal in 60%, which together favor Over 2.5. Montreal concedes on average 3.0 goals per away match with xG_against 1.65, whereas Nashville has conceded only 11 goals at home this season while scoring 32, suggesting a high likelihood of goal exchanges. Additionally both teams average 14.14 and 13.5 shots per match with conversion around ~10–11%, increasing realistic chances of goals; therefore the best pick is Over 2.5 (I rate Over 2.5 at ~72%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate a clear advantage for Nashville at the break: the hosts led at half-time in 57% of matches, whereas Montreal led in only 25% and were trailing after the first 45 minutes in 75% of cases. Defensively the visitors perform poorly — they concede on average 3.0 goals per match versus 1.0 conceded by the hosts, and xG shows 1.59 xG for Nashville against 1.65 xG conceded by Montreal, which supports goals for the hosts. In the last 5 fixtures Nashville won 80% of matches and averaged 1.0 goals at half-time, while Montreal managed only 0.2 goals at half-time in their last 5, confirming the hosts’ form and their ability to open the scoring quickly. For these reasons I assess the scenario of the hosts leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1) as the strongest — I assign it a 40% probability, with realistic alternatives being X/1 (13%) and 1/X (11%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nashville SC is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Nashville SC · 1.2 pts / game - Montreal Impact
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Nashville SC · 1.47 goals / game - Montreal Impact
Nashville SC is 184% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Nashville SC · 2.07 goals / game - Montreal Impact
Nashville SC scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
Montreal Impact scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Nashville SC · 1.33 pts / game - Montreal Impact
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nashville SC
Montreal Impact
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.87 | 3.31 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 1:0 Montreal Impact. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
Nashville SC score 2.13 goals per game on average and Montreal Impact 1.47. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nashville SC's matches and 47% of Montreal Impact's.
What form are Nashville SC and Montreal Impact in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Montreal Impact 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.