Nashville SC vs Toronto: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nashville SC played against Toronto in MLS (United States). The game was played on September 27, 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Nashville SC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Toronto has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nashville SC scores 2.04 goals per game and allows 0.81. Toronto scores 1.50 and allows 1.88. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Nashville SC's games and 81% of Toronto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 69%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nashville SC has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.38 per game. Nashville SC takes 12.2 shots per game, while Toronto takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Nashville SC leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. Toronto leads at halftime in 12% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nashville SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Toronto, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville SC have been in excellent form at home, winning 92% of their matches, remaining unbeaten there, and averaging 3.00 goals per game. Toronto have won just 17% of their away matches, concede an average of 1.75 goals, and have a negative goal difference of -11. The hosts create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.61 compared with Toronto’s 1.26, while also averaging 5.92 shots on target versus 3.50 for their opponents. The difference in finishing efficiency is underlined by Nashville converting 22% of their shots into goals, compared with just 7% for the visitors. The last five matches also favor the hosts, who have conceded only 4 goals, while Toronto have allowed 12.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Nashville have scored in both of their league matches so far, resulting in a 100% BTTS rate, while also failing to keep a single clean sheet. Toronto have a lower season goals average of 0.83 per match, but have improved that figure to 1.6 goals across their last five games, and both teams have almost identical current xG figures: 1.62 and 1.63. The visitors’ defense looks particularly vulnerable to conceding, as Toronto have allowed an average of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, with 1.5 xG conceded to opponents. Nashville have conceded just 0.8 goals per game over the same period, which limits confidence in Toronto scoring, but the visitors recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five appearances. The hosts’ attacking quality advantage, with 5.21 shots on target per match compared with Toronto’s 3.5, combined with the visitors’ poor defensive form, supports a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nashville score an average of 2.07 goals per match, while Toronto concede 1.75, with the visitors allowing opponents as many as 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches. The 1.5 line has been exceeded in 100% of Nashville’s matches and 75% of Toronto’s, providing very strong support for at least two goals. Both teams also have high rates of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals: 80% each in their last five outings. Nashville have averaged 1.62 xG over their last five matches, compared with 1.63 for Toronto, so the chance-creation profile also points to an open game. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest option, as it covers the two-goal scenario while also being supported by a projected total of 3.15 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Nashville leading at the break and maintaining that advantage through to the end of the match. In their last five games, Nashville led at half-time in 60% of cases, did not trail in any of them, and averaged 0.8 goals scored before the break while conceding just 0.2. During the same period, Toronto went into half-time trailing in as many as 80% of matches, scoring only 0.4 goals and conceding an average of 1.0. The hosts also have a clear edge in overall-season attacking efficiency: they average 2.07 goals per match compared with Toronto’s 0.83, while their xG stands at 1.50 versus 1.26 for the visitors. After the break, Nashville averages 1.57 goals, while Toronto has lost 58% of its matches this season, further supporting the 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nashville SC is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Nashville SC · 1 pts / game - Toronto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
2.04 goals / game - Nashville SC · 1.5 goals / game - Toronto
Nashville SC is 132% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.81 goals / game - Nashville SC · 1.88 goals / game - Toronto
Nashville SC scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 games).
Toronto scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 games), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Toronto
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 153% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / game - Nashville SC · 0.73 pts / game - Toronto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nashville SC
Toronto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.85 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 63% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Nashville SC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toronto. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Toronto?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 2:0 Toronto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Toronto?
Nashville SC score 2.04 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.50. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Nashville SC's matches and 81% of Toronto's.
What form are Nashville SC and Toronto in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toronto 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Toronto?
The statistical background for Nashville SC vs Toronto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.