Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tightly contested match between two sides from the lower reaches of the table. Navad Urmia shows solid home form with a 75% draw rate and 50% clean sheets at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability on home turf. Naft Gachsaran has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), but their overall recent form shows improvement with four draws in their last five outings. The hosts boast a superior home goal difference (+4) compared to the visitors' away record (-8), although their recent overall form is poor (0.4 points per match). Given Navad Urmia's propensity for home draws and Naft Gachsaran's lack of away victories, the most probable outcome is a points share.
Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navad Urmia play Naft Gachsaran in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 2 February 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Navad Urmia: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Naft Gachsaran: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navad Urmia scores 0.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Naft Gachsaran scores 0.76 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navad Urmia 31%, Naft Gachsaran 45%. Over 2.5: Navad Urmia 19%, Naft Gachsaran 33%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Navad Urmia has higher xG: 0.79 vs 0.66. Navad Urmia: 1.0 shots per match, Naft Gachsaran: 0.5.
Match halves
Navad Urmia: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Naft Gachsaran: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (5 goals). Naft Gachsaran: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a tightly contested match between two sides from the lower reaches of the table. Navad Urmia shows solid home form with a 75% draw rate and 50% clean sheets at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability on home turf. Naft Gachsaran has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), but their overall recent form shows improvement with four draws in their last five outings. The hosts boast a superior home goal difference (+4) compared to the visitors' away record (-8), although their recent overall form is poor (0.4 points per match). Given Navad Urmia's propensity for home draws and Naft Gachsaran's lack of away victories, the most probable outcome is a points share.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navad Urmia | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -12% | -40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Naft Gachsaran is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 0.76 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran
Naft Gachsaran is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 1.18 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran
Navad Urmia scores in 44% of matches (14 of 32 matches), while Naft Gachsaran keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
Naft Gachsaran scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Navad Urmia
Over / Under — Naft Gachsaran
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naft Gachsaran is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Navad Urmia · 1.15 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Naft Gachsaran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navad Urmia
Naft Gachsaran
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Navad Urmia | Liga | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.75 | 1.59 | ▲ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 31% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 46% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Navad Urmia 0 - 0 - 1 Naft Gachsaran. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran?
The Azadegan League match finished Navad Urmia 1:1 Naft Gachsaran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran?
Navad Urmia score 0.50 goals per game on average and Naft Gachsaran 0.76. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Navad Urmia's matches and 45% of Naft Gachsaran's.
What form are Navad Urmia and Naft Gachsaran in?
Over the last 5 games Navad Urmia have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Naft Gachsaran 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.