Navbahor vs Buxoro: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests balanced chances for both sides, leaning slightly towards a draw. Navbahor currently sits 8th in the table, averaging 1.2 points per match over their last 5 games with a form of dlddw. Buxoro ranks higher in 6th place, boasting a superior 1.6 points per match average and a form of ddlww, highlighting two consecutive wins. Both teams hold identical records this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses) and similar goal differences. While Navbahor has scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches (4 vs 4), they have conceded more (5 vs 3), indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Although the lack of specific home/away splits complicates a precise evaluation, the visitors' better current form and sturdier defense favor a draw or a narrow Buxoro advantage. I anticipate a tight, contested fixture with few goals.
Navbahor vs Buxoro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor play Buxoro in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 5 March 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Navbahor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Buxoro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.33 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Buxoro scores 1.31 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 50%, Buxoro 54%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 42%, Buxoro 38%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.35. Navbahor: 13.5 shots per match, Buxoro: 11.4.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42. Buxoro: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (5 goals). Buxoro: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests balanced chances for both sides, leaning slightly towards a draw. Navbahor currently sits 8th in the table, averaging 1.2 points per match over their last 5 games with a form of dlddw. Buxoro ranks higher in 6th place, boasting a superior 1.6 points per match average and a form of ddlww, highlighting two consecutive wins. Both teams hold identical records this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses) and similar goal differences. While Navbahor has scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches (4 vs 4), they have conceded more (5 vs 3), indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Although the lack of specific home/away splits complicates a precise evaluation, the visitors' better current form and sturdier defense favor a draw or a narrow Buxoro advantage. I anticipate a tight, contested fixture with few goals.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Buxoro is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.8 pts / match - Buxoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Navbahor · 1 goals / match - Buxoro
Navbahor scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Buxoro scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Navbahor
Over / Under — Buxoro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.69 pts / match - Buxoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
Buxoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Navbahor 1 - 0 - 1 Buxoro. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs Buxoro?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 0:1 Buxoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Buxoro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Buxoro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Buxoro?
Navbahor score 1.33 goals per game on average and Buxoro 1.31. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Navbahor's matches and 54% of Buxoro's.
What form are Navbahor and Buxoro in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Buxoro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Buxoro?
The statistical background for Navbahor vs Buxoro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.