Navbahor vs Mash'al: match statistics
Navbahor vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Navbahor played against Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Navbahor has 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Mash'al has 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Navbahor scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mash'al scores 0.00 and allows 2.25. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Navbahor's games and 0% of Mash'al's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Navbahor has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.13 per game. Navbahor takes 13.0 shots per game, while Mash'al takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Navbahor leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Mash'al leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Navbahor's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Mash'al, it is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Navbahor holds a clear advantage in chance creation: average home xG is 1.53 versus Mash'al's 0.94 xG on the road, and the hosts average 15 shots (4 on target) compared to the visitors' 8 shots (2.5 on target). In the last 5 matches Navbahor scored 6 goals, while Mash'al have not scored a single goal this season and in their last 5 matches (0 goals), which strongly supports the hosts' attacking efficiency. Defensively Navbahor are superior as well: they concede 1.0 goal at home on average with xG against of 0.76, whereas Mash'al concede 2.5 goals away with xG against of 2.17. Form trend further favors the hosts — Navbahor have 1.4 points per match in the last 5 (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Mash'al have 0 points and 5 straight defeats; therefore I predict a Navbahor win (70%), draw 20% and Mash'al win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong argument against BTTS is that Mash'al has not scored any goals this season (0 goals) nor in the last 5 matches (0 goals), with a season goals-per-game average of 0.0. Despite an xG of 1.13 in the last 5 matches and a season xG of 0.94, Mash'al fails to convert chances, evidenced by a 0% BTTS rate in their last 5 games. Navbahor has scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and has a recent xG of 1.61, and the hosts average 9.5 shots versus the visitors' 8.0, so the hosts are likely to score at least once. Additionally, the league shows only 41% BTTS and a high clean sheet rate of 66%, which, combined with Mash'al’s lack of goals (0 this season and in L5), strongly supports the scenario that both teams will not score. Based on this, I assess 80% for 'No' and 20% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a season over 1.5 rate of 100%, meaning 100% of their matches have produced at least 2 goals. Combined season xG is 1.32 (Navbahor) + 0.94 (Mash'al) = 2.26, while the more recent picture from the last 5 matches is 1.61 + 1.13 = 2.74 xG, suggesting a realistic goals range around 2.3–2.7. Navbahor scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches (1.2 avg) and averages 9.5 shots with 2.5 on target, whereas Mash'al has no goals this season nor in the last 5 (0 scored) and conceded 11 goals in those 5 matches. Considering these figures and seasonal over 2.5 data (Navbahor 0% vs Mash'al 50%; in last 5: 40% vs 20%), I estimate Over 1.5 at ~95%, Over 2.5 at ~30% and Over 3.5 at ~5%. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5; expected goals projection is Navbahor 1.55, Mash'al 0.75, total 2.30.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at half-time, Navbahor win), because the home side have higher xG of 1.32 versus 0.94 and average 9.5 shots per match compared to Mash'al's 8.0. In the last five fixtures Navbahor have won 40% of matches while Mash'al have won 0%. I expect a draw at the break: the hosts were level at half-time in 60% of their last five games, whereas Mash'al led at half-time in 0% and were behind at half-time in 100% of those matches. After 90 minutes the favorite remains Navbahor, since Mash'al have averaged no goals in their last five matches (0.0) and conceded 2.2 goals per match, with an xG against of 2.17, which increases the hosts' chances of victory. Additionally the home side have a lower xG against (1.55) and a better shots profile, so turnaround scenarios in favor of the visitors (1/2, X/2, 2/2) are assessed as unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 125% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Navbahor · 2.25 goals / game - Mash'al
Navbahor scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).
Mash'al scores in 0% of games (0 of 4 meczów), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Navbahor
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Navbahor
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Navbahor's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mash'al. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Mash'al won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Mash'al?
Navbahor score 1.25 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.00. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Navbahor's matches and 0% of Mash'al's.
What form are Navbahor and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Mash'al 0-0-4 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Mash'al?
The statistical background for Navbahor vs Mash'al — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.