NEC vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

NEC played against Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

NEC has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Ajax has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

NEC scores 2.56 goals per game and allows 1.69. Ajax scores 1.88 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of NEC's games and 69% of Ajax's. The Over 2.5 rates are 81% and 56%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.72 per game. NEC takes 15.9 shots per game, while Ajax takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

NEC leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 1.75 goals per game after halftime. Ajax leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.06 after halftime.

When the teams score

NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Ajax, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eredivisie games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

39Possession (%)61
NECAjax
14Shots19
NECAjax
5Shots on target8
NECAjax
1.62xG2.2
NECAjax
1Corners7
NECAjax
54Dangerous attacks62
NECAjax
8Fouls8
NECAjax
5Cards3
NECAjax

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.56Goals scored / game1.88
NECAjax
1.69Goals allowed / game1.25
NECAjax
58%Average possession57%
NECAjax
6.94Shots on target / game6
NECAjax

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.94Shots per game14.56
NECAjax
6.94Shots on target6
NECAjax
16.1%Shot conversion12.9%
NECAjax
58%Possession57%
NECAjax
1.88xG for1.72
NECAjax
1.31xG against1.58
NECAjax

Shooting quality

NEC: DominantAjax: Dominant
NECAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)44%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

NEC is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - NEC · 1.8 pts / game - Ajax

NEC
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-4
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Ajax
LLWWW
Season result split
50% W31% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-3
1.81 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 36% better for: goals scored per game.

2.56 goals / game - NEC · 1.88 goals / game - Ajax

Ajax is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.69 goals / game - NEC · 1.25 goals / game - Ajax

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

41Goals scored (season)30
NECAjax
27Goals conceded (season)20
NECAjax
4.25Average goals per game3.13
NECAjax
14Goals scored (last 5)9
NECAjax
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
NECAjax

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal94%
NECAjax
88%2 goals69%
NECAjax
50%3 goals25%
NECAjax
19%4 goals0%
NECAjax

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal75%
NECAjax
50%2 goals44%
NECAjax
25%3 goals6%
NECAjax
6%4 goals0%
NECAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time31%
NECAjax
38%BTTS in both halves13%
NECAjax
69%Scored in both halves56%
NECAjax

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
NECAjax
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NECAjax
80%BTTS - last 560%
NECAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NECAjax
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
NECAjax
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
NECAjax

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
NECAjax
88%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
NECAjax
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
NECAjax

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / game - NEC · 1.44 pts / game - Ajax

NEC - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per game (1st half)1.44
NECAjax
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.81
NECAjax
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
NECAjax
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.56
NECAjax
38%Clean sheet before half-time38%
NECAjax
25%No goal before half-time31%
NECAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per game (2nd half)1.94
NECAjax
1.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
NECAjax
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
NECAjax
2.63Average goals (2nd half)1.56
NECAjax
31%Clean sheet after half-time56%
NECAjax
13%No goal after half-time19%
NECAjax

NEC - second-half results

38% W56% D6% L
21
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ajax - second-half results

50% W44% D6% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

NEC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.82.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.42.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Ajax - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

NEC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
8
6
46-60
9
4
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
5
31-45
9
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

NECLigaAjax
Average goals per game 4.253.28 3.13
Both teams scored 75%61% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 81%63% 56%
Clean sheets 19%20% 25%
Goal before half-time 94%86% 100%
Goal after half-time 94%85% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / game
1.46
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NECYellow cardBryan Linssen
  2. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Kenneth TaylorOff: Sean Steur
  3. NECRed cardSami Ouaissa
  4. NECSubstitutionOn: Noé LebretonOff: Bryan Linssen
  5. NECSubstitutionOn: Deveron FonvilleOff: Koki Ogawa
  6. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Rayane BounidaOff: Davy Klaassen
  7. NECSubstitutionOn: Kento ShiogaiOff: Basar Onal
  8. NECSubstitutionOn: Brayann PereiraOff: Tjaronn Chery
  9. AjaxYellow cardRayane Bounida
  10. AjaxYellow cardMika Marcel Godts
  11. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Jorthy MokioOff: Lucas Oliveira Rosa
  12. AjaxYellow cardYouri Regeer
  13. NECYellow cardAhmetcan Kaplan

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of NEC vs Ajax?

The Eredivisie match finished NEC 2:2 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Ajax?

NEC score 2.56 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of NEC's matches and 69% of Ajax's.

What form are NEC and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Ajax 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Ajax?

The statistical background for NEC vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.