Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of October 13, 2026

NEC vs Express: match statistics

NEC crest
NEC
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Express crest
Express
165%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
210%(0.00)

NEC are displaying significantly better home form with a 33% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +1, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Express have not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), and their away form is disastrous with a 'ldddlll' streak and a -8 goal difference. The hosts average 1.33 goals at home, while the visitors score only 0.29 goals per away match and fail to score in 71% of their away games. Furthermore, Express have gained only 3 points in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), conceding a worrying 9 goals, which confirms their poor run of form. NEC, with 54% possession and superior xG statistics (1.76 vs 1.2), should control the proceedings and secure all three points in front of their home crowd.

NEC vs Express: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

NEC played against Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

NEC has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Express has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

NEC scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Express scores 1.00 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of NEC's games and 29% of Express's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.30 per game. NEC takes 9.4 shots per game, while Express takes 8.8.

First-half and second-half trends

NEC leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Express leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Express, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

NEC are displaying significantly better home form with a 33% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +1, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Express have not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), and their away form is disastrous with a 'ldddlll' streak and a -8 goal difference. The hosts average 1.33 goals at home, while the visitors score only 0.29 goals per away match and fail to score in 71% of their away games. Furthermore, Express have gained only 3 points in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), conceding a worrying 9 goals, which confirms their poor run of form. NEC, with 54% possession and superior xG statistics (1.76 vs 1.2), should control the proceedings and secure all three points in front of their home crowd.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
NECExpress
12Shots17
NECExpress
4Shots on target4
NECExpress
1.75xG1.92
NECExpress
1Corners1
NECExpress
96Dangerous attacks76
NECExpress
-1Fouls-1
NECExpress
-1Cards-1
NECExpress

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1
NECExpress
1Goals allowed / game1.21
NECExpress
45%Average possession45%
NECExpress
3.36Shots on target / game3.71
NECExpress

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.36Shots per game8.79
NECExpress
3.36Shots on target3.71
NECExpress
10.7%Shot conversion11.4%
NECExpress
45%Possession45%
NECExpress
1.56xG for1.3
NECExpress
1.59xG against1.67
NECExpress

Shooting quality

NEC: BalancedExpress: Balanced
NECExpress
Accuracy (shots on target)36%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

NEC is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - NEC · 0.6 pts / game - Express

NEC
LDWLW
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-4
1.29 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Express
LLLWL
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-7
1.07 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - NEC · 1.21 goals / game - Express

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 games), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).

Express scoring profile: mixed

Express scores in 43% of games (6 of 14 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 games).

14Goals scored (season)14
NECExpress
14Goals conceded (season)17
NECExpress
2Average goals per game2.21
NECExpress
5Goals scored (last 5)3
NECExpress
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
NECExpress

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
NECExpress
14%2 goals21%
NECExpress
0%3 goals21%
NECExpress
0%4 goals14%
NECExpress

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal71%
NECExpress
29%2 goals29%
NECExpress
7%3 goals14%
NECExpress
0%4 goals7%
NECExpress

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time14%
NECExpress
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NECExpress
7%Scored in both halves21%
NECExpress

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
NECExpress
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
NECExpress
40%BTTS - last 520%
NECExpress

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
NECExpress
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
NECExpress
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
NECExpress

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NECExpress
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
NECExpress
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
NECExpress

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / game - NEC · 1.29 pts / game - Express

NEC - half-time state
36% leading57% draw7% trailing
Express - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per game (1st half)1.29
NECExpress
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
NECExpress
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
NECExpress
0.64Average goals (1st half)1.07
NECExpress
86%Clean sheet before half-time57%
NECExpress
57%No goal before half-time64%
NECExpress

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.14
NECExpress
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
NECExpress
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
NECExpress
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.14
NECExpress
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NECExpress
50%No goal after half-time71%
NECExpress

NEC - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
23
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Express - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

NEC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Express - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

NEC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
6
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

NECLigaExpress
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.32▼ 2.21
Both teams scored▲ 57%43%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 29%41%▲ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 36%34%▼ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%62%▲ 64%
Goal after half-time▲ 71%61%▲ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.32
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+70%
Home attack advantage
+41%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of NEC vs Express?

The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 0:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Express?

NEC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Express 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 57% of NEC's matches and 29% of Express's.

What form are NEC and Express in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Express 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Express?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.