Netherlands - EredivisieGoffertstadionData current as of October 21, 2026

NEC vs Groningen: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

NEC vs Groningen: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

NEC plays Groningen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Goffertstadion.

Recent form

NEC has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Groningen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

NEC scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.78. Groningen scores 2.44 and allows 2.11. Games in this league average 3.84 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 89% of NEC's games and 89% of Groningen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 89%, compared with league averages of 72% for BTTS and 75% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.67 per game. NEC takes 15.3 shots per game, while Groningen takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

NEC leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Groningen leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Groningen, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eredivisie games average 3.84 goals. Both teams score in 72% of games, and 75% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.10)
(3.92)
(3.23)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game2.44
NECGroningen
1.78Goals allowed / game2.11
NECGroningen
60%Average possession50%
NECGroningen
4.22Shots on target / game5.78
NECGroningen

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.33Shots per game15
NECGroningen
4.22Shots on target5.78
NECGroningen
10.9%Shot conversion16.3%
NECGroningen
60%Possession50%
NECGroningen
1.75xG for1.67
NECGroningen
1.26xG against1.7
NECGroningen

Shooting quality

NEC: DominantGroningen: Attacking
NECGroningen
Accuracy (shots on target)28%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Groningen is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - NEC · 1.6 pts / game - Groningen

NEC
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Groningen
DDWWL
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Groningen is 46% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - NEC · 2.44 goals / game - Groningen

NEC is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.78 goals / game - NEC · 2.11 goals / game - Groningen

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

Groningen scoring profile: very strong

Groningen scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).

15Goals scored (season)22
NECGroningen
16Goals conceded (season)19
NECGroningen
3.44Average goals per game4.56
NECGroningen
6Goals scored (last 5)13
NECGroningen
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
NECGroningen

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal100%
NECGroningen
44%2 goals78%
NECGroningen
22%3 goals33%
NECGroningen
11%4 goals22%
NECGroningen

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal89%
NECGroningen
56%2 goals44%
NECGroningen
22%3 goals33%
NECGroningen
0%4 goals22%
NECGroningen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

56%BTTS at half-time44%
NECGroningen
22%BTTS in both halves11%
NECGroningen
44%Scored in both halves56%
NECGroningen

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS78%
NECGroningen
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
NECGroningen
80%BTTS - last 580%
NECGroningen

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NECGroningen
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time78%
NECGroningen
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time56%
NECGroningen

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
NECGroningen
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
NECGroningen
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
NECGroningen

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Groningen is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / game - NEC · 1.78 pts / game - Groningen

NEC - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing
Groningen - half-time state
56% leading11% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per game (1st half)1.78
NECGroningen
0.78Goals scored (1st half)1.44
NECGroningen
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
NECGroningen
1.67Average goals (1st half)2.56
NECGroningen
22%Clean sheet before half-time44%
NECGroningen
33%No goal before half-time11%
NECGroningen

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per game (2nd half)1.11
NECGroningen
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)1
NECGroningen
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)1
NECGroningen
1.78Average goals (2nd half)2
NECGroningen
44%Clean sheet after half-time33%
NECGroningen
33%No goal after half-time33%
NECGroningen

NEC - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Groningen - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
16
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

NEC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
Groningen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game1.41.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

NEC
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Groningen
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
89%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
89%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Groningen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

NECLigaGroningen
Average goals per game▼ 3.443.84▲ 4.56
Both teams scored▲ 89%72%▲ 89%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%75%▲ 89%
Clean sheets▼ 0%15%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%83%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%90%• 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.84
Average goals per game
72%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / game
2.04
Away goals / game
+-12%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defensive advantage
+-8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
68%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from NEC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Groningen. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FC Groningen
2 : 1
Nijmegen Eendracht Combinatie
Nijmegen Eendracht Combinatie
2 : 0
FC Groningen

FAQ

When do NEC and Groningen play?

NEC face Groningen on October 25, 2026 in Eredivisie at Goffertstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between NEC and Groningen?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches NEC won 1, Groningen won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Groningen?

NEC score 1.67 goals per game on average and Groningen 2.44. The Eredivisie average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 89% of NEC's matches and 89% of Groningen's.

What form are NEC and Groningen in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Groningen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Groningen?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.