NEC vs KCCA: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched. NEC has the home field advantage with a solid record of 43% clean sheets at home and good form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings). KCCA presents a better overall seasonal record (9 wins) and higher possession (58%), however, on the road they show weaker scoring statistics (0.86 goals per match) and a high FTS% rate (43%). The hosts score an average of 1.14 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede 0.86 goals away, suggesting a tight rivalry. Taking into account NEC's high percentage of draws at home (57%) and the close xG values of both teams, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home field factor.
NEC vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NEC played against KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on February 13, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
NEC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. KCCA has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
NEC scores 0.93 goals per game and allows 0.93. KCCA scores 1.40 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 2.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of NEC's games and 47% of KCCA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 47%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KCCA has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.57 per game. NEC takes 9.5 shots per game, while KCCA takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
NEC leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. KCCA leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For KCCA, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.21 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched. NEC has the home field advantage with a solid record of 43% clean sheets at home and good form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings). KCCA presents a better overall seasonal record (9 wins) and higher possession (58%), however, on the road they show weaker scoring statistics (0.86 goals per match) and a high FTS% rate (43%). The hosts score an average of 1.14 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede 0.86 goals away, suggesting a tight rivalry. Taking into account NEC's high percentage of draws at home (57%) and the close xG values of both teams, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home field factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - NEC · 1.4 pts / game - KCCA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 51% better for: goals scored per game.
0.93 goals / game - NEC · 1.4 goals / game - KCCA
KCCA is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - NEC · 0.8 goals / game - KCCA
NEC scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 games), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 games).
KCCA scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - KCCA
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - NEC · 1.53 pts / game - KCCA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NEC
KCCA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.87 | 2.21 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 39% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- NECGoalRichard Basangwa
- KCCAGoalIvan Ahimbisibwe
Head-to-head
Record from NEC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against KCCA. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs KCCA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 3:1 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs KCCA?
NEC score 0.93 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of NEC's matches and 47% of KCCA's.
What form are NEC and KCCA in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KCCA 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs KCCA?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.