NEC vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
NEC presents decidedly better home form with 75% of matches ending in a draw and only one defeat at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference (+1) in home fixtures, while Lugazi Municipal has a catastrophic away record (-10) and remains winless on the road this season. The visitors concede an average of 2.2 goals per away match and fail to score in 80% of games, highlighting immense offensive struggles with an average of just 0.2 goals per away match. NEC holds the advantage in possession (53% vs 46%), better shot efficiency, and a higher xG (1.63 vs 1.32). Recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts, who earned 6 points compared to just 2 for the visitors. All statistical indicators point to a clear advantage for NEC, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
NEC vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NEC played against Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 7, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
NEC has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Lugazi Municipal has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
NEC scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 1.00. Lugazi Municipal scores 1.00 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of NEC's games and 45% of Lugazi Municipal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 55%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lugazi Municipal has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.45 per game. NEC takes 8.6 shots per game, while Lugazi Municipal takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
NEC leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Lugazi Municipal leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
NEC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Lugazi Municipal, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NEC presents decidedly better home form with 75% of matches ending in a draw and only one defeat at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference (+1) in home fixtures, while Lugazi Municipal has a catastrophic away record (-10) and remains winless on the road this season. The visitors concede an average of 2.2 goals per away match and fail to score in 80% of games, highlighting immense offensive struggles with an average of just 0.2 goals per away match. NEC holds the advantage in possession (53% vs 46%), better shot efficiency, and a higher xG (1.63 vs 1.32). Recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts, who earned 6 points compared to just 2 for the visitors. All statistical indicators point to a clear advantage for NEC, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - NEC · 0.4 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugazi Municipal is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
0.91 goals / game - NEC · 1 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal
NEC is 55% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - NEC · 1.55 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal
NEC scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 45% of games (5 of 11 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - NEC · 1.18 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NEC
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.91 | 2.36 | ▲ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 1:0 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
NEC score 0.91 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 64% of NEC's matches and 45% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are NEC and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.