Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 17 July 2026

NEC vs Maroons: match statistics

NEC crest
NEC
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Maroons crest
Maroons

NEC vs Maroons: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NEC play Maroons in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Maroons: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Maroons scores 0.87 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NEC 38%, Maroons 30%. Over 2.5: NEC 21%, Maroons 33%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

NEC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.24. NEC: 8.7 shots per match, Maroons: 8.5.

Match halves

NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62. Maroons: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.37.

Goals by minute

NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). Maroons: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

NEC has a clear home advantage in chance creation and efficiency: on average 1.18 goals per match with 11.45 shots and 4.0 shots on target per game, while Maroons average 0.6 goals away with 8.33 shots and 2.56 shots on target. Home conversion is better — 10% vs 7% for Maroons — and the share of matches without scoring is 18% for NEC vs 50% for Maroons, meaning the visitors fail to score in half of their away fixtures. Defensively NEC also dominates: they concede 0.73 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 55% of games, whereas Maroons concede 1.2 goals away and record only 20% clean sheets; additionally the hosts have a home goal difference of +5 compared to the visitors’ -6 on the road. In terms of chance quality NEC generate 1.65 xG at home versus 1.2 xG for Maroons away, and the fact NEC’s xG against is 1.65 while they actually concede only 0.73 goals suggests organized defending and strong goalkeeping. Considering recent form (NEC in last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, averaging 2.6 points per game; Maroons: 3 wins, 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game) and the edge in shots, conversion and lower share of scoreless matches, I favour the home win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
NECMaroons
7Shots12
NECMaroons
1Shots on target0
NECMaroons
0.89xG1.05
NECMaroons
4Corners2
NECMaroons
52Dangerous attacks41
NECMaroons
-1Fouls-1
NECMaroons
-1Cards-1
NECMaroons

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.97Goals scored / match0.87
NECMaroons
0.76Goals conceded / match0.9
NECMaroons
47%Average possession46%
NECMaroons
3.07Shots on target / match2.83
NECMaroons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.69Shots per match8.53
NECMaroons
3.07Shots on target2.83
NECMaroons
11.1%Shot conversion10.2%
NECMaroons
47%Possession46%
NECMaroons
1.44xG for1.24
NECMaroons
1.43xG against1.32
NECMaroons

Shooting quality

NEC: BalancedMaroons: Balanced
NECMaroons
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NEC is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - NEC · 1 pts / match - Maroons

NEC
WWWLL
Season result split
45% W34% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-6
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Maroons
DLDLW
Season result split
30% W37% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - NEC · 0.87 goals / match - Maroons

NEC is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.76 goals / match - NEC · 0.9 goals / match - Maroons

NEC scoring profile: strong

NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Maroons keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).

Maroons scoring profile: more difficult

Maroons scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).

28Goals scored (season)26
NECMaroons
22Goals conceded (season)27
NECMaroons
1.72Average goals in match1.77
NECMaroons
4Goals scored (last 5)3
NECMaroons
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
NECMaroons

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal53%
NECMaroons
14%2 goals20%
NECMaroons
3%3 goals10%
NECMaroons
0%4 goals3%
NECMaroons

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal57%
NECMaroons
21%2 goals27%
NECMaroons
7%3 goals7%
NECMaroons
3%4 goals0%
NECMaroons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

3%BTTS at half-time10%
NECMaroons
0%BTTS in both halves3%
NECMaroons
7%Scored in both halves13%
NECMaroons

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
NECMaroons
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
NECMaroons
20%BTTS - last 520%
NECMaroons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

45%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
NECMaroons
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
NECMaroons
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
NECMaroons

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
NECMaroons
28%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
NECMaroons
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NECMaroons

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - NEC · 1.2 pts / match - Maroons

NEC - half-time state
28% leading59% draw14% trailing
Maroons - half-time state
27% leading40% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)1.2
NECMaroons
0.34Goals scored (1st half)0.5
NECMaroons
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
NECMaroons
0.59Average goals (1st half)1.07
NECMaroons
83%Clean sheet before half-time60%
NECMaroons
69%No goal before half-time67%
NECMaroons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.23
NECMaroons
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.37
NECMaroons
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
NECMaroons
1.1Average goals (2nd half)0.7
NECMaroons
66%Clean sheet after half-time70%
NECMaroons
45%No goal after half-time67%
NECMaroons

NEC - second-half results

38% W41% R21% P
41
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Maroons - second-half results

20% W63% R17% P
36
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Maroons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NEC
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
7
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Maroons
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
6
3
16-30
4
8
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
1
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Maroons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

NECLigaMaroons
Average goals in match 1.722.09 1.77
Both teams scored 38%38% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%35% 33%
Clean sheets 55%39% 43%
Goal before half-time 45%59% 63%
Goal after half-time 69%62% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: NEC 0 - 1 - 0 Maroons. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Maroons FC
1 : 1
NEC FC

FAQ

What was the result of NEC vs Maroons?

The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 1:0 Maroons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Maroons?

NEC score 0.97 goals per game on average and Maroons 0.87. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 38% of NEC's matches and 30% of Maroons's.

What form are NEC and Maroons in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Maroons 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Maroons?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NEC vs Maroons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.